AGATHANo gut feelings

Elks vs Roughriders Prediction

Saturday, Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, Week 21

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

AGATHA'S PICKEdmonton ElksEdmontonElks13-4

FINAL

0916

Saskatchewan RoughridersSaskatchewanRoughriders9-8
57%WIN CHANCEElks to WinLOST#1698 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 57%

Agatha's pick: Elks to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Roughriders 16, Elks 9

SEALED ODDS
+115BetMGM
CLOSING ODDS
Same as sealedat the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
GRADED
6:07 PM ETreceipt #1698
EDM

Tale of the tape

SSK

This season

Points per gameWHYEDM 31.3SSK 27.6
Points against per gamefewer is betterEDM 24.8SSK 27.3

Elks vs Roughriders recent form

WHY

EDM 4-1 Elks: last 5 games

  1. W35-27WPG Oct 16 Winnipeg Blue Bombers, 35-27
  2. W27-12HAM Oct 9 Hamilton Tiger-Cats, 27-12
  3. W37-35HAM Sep 26 Hamilton Tiger-Cats, 37-35
  4. L19-24TOR Sep 19 Toronto Argonauts, 19-24
  5. W53-16CGY Sep 12 Calgary Stampeders, 53-16

SSK 1-4 Roughriders: last 5 games

  1. W16-12MTL Oct 17 Montreal Alouettes, 16-12
  2. L24-44MTL Oct 12 Montreal Alouettes, 24-44
  3. L31-37CGY Oct 2 Calgary Stampeders, 31-37
  4. L24-31BC Sep 25 BC Lions, 24-31
  5. L6-19WPG Sep 12 Winnipeg Blue Bombers, 6-19
Points scored, last 5EDM 171SSK 101
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterEDM 114SSK 143

Elks vs Roughriders head-to-head

WHY

Since Jun 8, 2024: Roughriders 4, Elks 3

  1. Aug 1, 2026Roughriders 28-26
  2. Jul 23, 2026Elks 36-34
  3. Sep 27, 2025Elks 27-25
  4. Jul 25, 2025Roughriders 21-18
  5. Oct 5, 2024Roughriders 28-24
  6. Aug 3, 2024Elks 42-31
  7. Jun 8, 2024Roughriders 29-21

Elks vs Roughriders line movement

MONEYLINE Elks to win at BetMGM

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (SSK)

-2.5

Total

49.5

Moneyline

EDM
+100
SSK
-122

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (4 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (SSK) at FanDuel: opened -134, now -132
  • Spread (SSK) at FanDuel: opened -1.5, now -1.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 52.5, now 50.5

Agatha's pick for Elks vs Roughriders

The Elks. Agatha gave Edmonton a 57% chance to win. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picked the Elks

The Edmonton Elks have won three games in a row, and the offense is rolling. They beat the Winnipeg Blue Bombers 35-27 on Oct 16 and score 31.3 points a game while allowing 24.8 this season. The Elks went 7-3 over the last ten games, and they beat the Hamilton Tiger-Cats 27-12 on Oct 9. Agatha's prediction is a 30-28 Elks win, a little better than a coin flip. The risk is the Roughriders won the latest meeting 28-26 on Aug 1, 2026, and this game is at their home ground, Mosaic Stadium.

Up next

  1. Sun, Nov 15, 6:00 PM ETMontreal Alouettes vs Edmonton ElksAgatha's call: Montreal Alouettes to win, 58%