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Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction

Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins

Final: Atlanta Braves 8, Miami Marlins 3

Agatha's call

Atlanta Braves to win51%

Price 1.91 at Pinnacle

Projected final: Atlanta Braves 5, Miami Marlins 1

Why

Agatha leans the Atlanta Braves in this one. Form check: the Braves are 5-5 over their last ten, the Marlins 5-5. Her numbers play it out 5-1 in favor of the Braves.

Game Center

Team123456789T
ATL1302000028
MIA0002001003

ESPN live win probability: MIA 0%

Play-by-play

  • [9] End of the 9th inning
  • [9] Lopez grounded out to third.
  • [9] Pitch 3 : Ball In Play
  • [9] Pitch 2 : Ball 2
  • [9] Pitch 1 : Ball 1
  • [9] Raisel Iglesias pitches to Otto Lopez
  • [9] Serna flied out to left.
  • [9] Pitch 2 : Ball In Play
  • [9] Pitch 1 : Ball 1
  • [9] Raisel Iglesias pitches to Jared Serna

Game-day injuries

  • Owen Caissie (MIA) - 10-Day-IL
  • Kyle Stowers (MIA) - Day-To-Day
  • Xavier Edwards (MIA) - Day-To-Day
  • Tyler Zuber (MIA) - 15-Day-IL
  • Anthony Bender (MIA) - 15-Day-IL
  • Joe Jimenez (ATL) - 60-Day-IL
  • Reynaldo Lopez (ATL) - 15-Day-IL
  • Bryce Elder (ATL) - 15-Day-IL
  • Lane Thomas (ATL) - 10-Day-IL
  • Martin Perez (ATL) - 15-Day-IL

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (MIA)

+1.5

Total

8.5

Moneyline

ATL
1.86
MIA
2.05

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (6 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (home): opened 2.10, now 1.98
  • Moneyline (home): opened 2.15, now 2.05

Trends

Trends describe the past. They are not predictions and carry no edge - Agatha's pick is made independently.

Atlanta Braves

  • The Braves are 69-44 as favorites this season, their role tonight (+3.6u flat at closing prices).
  • The under has hit in 27 of the last 50 Braves games with a closing total (+1.3u flat).
  • The Braves are 6-4 over their last 10 games.
  • The Braves are 6-4 over their last 10 on the road.

Miami Marlins

  • The Marlins are 38-57 as underdogs this season, their role tonight (-7.4u flat at closing prices).
  • The over has hit in 26 of the last 50 Marlins games with a closing total (-0.3u flat).
  • The Marlins are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
  • The Marlins are 4-6 over their last 10 at home.

Season series: the Braves lead 9-3.

Priced trends settle against Agatha's own closing-line archive (tracked since May 2023) at flat 1u stakes.