Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
Agatha's pick
Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates - 6:40 PM ETFinished with 1 Ks70%LOSTLEAN1ULOSTSEALED ODDS1.56
The strikeout line on Lake Bachar sits at 1.5. Agatha reads the over 7 points richer than the market: 70% against an implied 63% at Fanatics. His recent work: 3, 3, 2, 1, 4 strikeouts over his last five starts (2.6 average); the over of 1.5 would have cashed in 4 of them. The matchup helps: Pittsburgh Pirates hitters strike out 9.4 times a game, ranking 3 of 30 in strikeout-proneness over the last four months.Sealed Pick #625 @ Sep 15, 6:26 PM ETFingerprint467f790cd4b3f5bd0d116f2a64567fa0b7317599ef3a4f3829e33bdca922b31dTransaction66688995306e0f24dc4dc39b72469a622c9fe08bc434ea236d651e26715a1becOpen key1e6b9e5f09b320d20a5a434ffd1aa17286fde19ea62932f5d69975e794a310b2- Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates - 6:40 PM ETFinished with 7 Ks56%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS1.71
One pitcher, one number: Jacob Misiorowski Under 8.5 strikeouts. His recent work: 9, 5, 6, 6, 6 strikeouts over his last five starts (7.9 average); the under of 8.5 would have cashed in 4 of them.Sealed Pick #626 @ Sep 15, 6:26 PM ETFingerprintcb97721bb652b174d4fa46f3dd4d2778023b94c905f3b13b49e78d4650647fb2Transaction1d8c29a06fa865c407dc6833cccbcab6730749b161bd8305becae8ffda414e09Open key1e6b9e5f09b320d20a5a434ffd1aa17286fde19ea62932f5d69975e794a310b2
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| PIT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
ESPN live win probability: PIT 0%
Play-by-play
- [9] End of the 9th inning
- [9] Lowe popped out to second.
- [9] Pitch 1 : Ball In Play
- [9] Trevor Megill pitches to Brandon Lowe
- [9] Griffin popped out to second.
- [9] Pitch 5 : Ball In Play
- [9] Pitch 4 : Ball 1
- [9] Pitch 3 : Strike 2 Foul
- [9] Pitch 2 : Strike 2 Swinging
- [9] Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Foul
Game-day injuries
- Kirby Yates (PIT) - 15-Day-IL
- Braxton Ashcraft (PIT) - 15-Day-IL
- Isaac Mattson (PIT) - 15-Day-IL
- Esmerlyn Valdez (PIT) - 10-Day-IL
- Mitch Keller (PIT) - 60-Day-IL
- Cooper Pratt (MIL) - Day-To-Day
- Rob Zastryzny (MIL) - 60-Day-IL
- Bryse Wilson (MIL) - 15-Day-IL
- Grant Anderson (MIL) - 15-Day-IL
- Brandon Woodruff (MIL) - 60-Day-IL
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (PIT)
+1.5
Total
7.5
Moneyline
- MIL
- 1.47
- PIT
- 2.73
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (7 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 3.00, now 2.80
- Moneyline (home): opened 3.14, now 2.85