St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
Agatha's pick
St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers - 3:10 PM ETAgatha projects STL 0, MIL 869%LEAN1UThe market at BetOnline prices the Milwaukee Brewers near 64%; Agatha's number is 69%. A gap of 5 points is the reason this is a pick and not a pass. Form check: the Brewers are 8-2 over their last ten, the Cardinals 2-8.- St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers - 3:10 PM ET57%LEAN1UThe books hung 6.5 strikeouts on Jacob Misiorowski; Agatha prices the over at 57% against roughly 51% implied at DraftKings, a 6-point disagreement. His recent work: 4, 7, 9, 5, 6 strikeouts over his last five starts (6.5 average); the over of 6.5 would have cashed in 2 of them. The matchup helps: Milwaukee Brewers hitters strike out 8.8 times a game, ranking 7 of 30 in strikeout-proneness over the last four months.
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Spread (MIL)
-1.5
Total
7
Moneyline
- STL
- 2.66
- MIL
- 1.54
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (12 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.43, now 1.50
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.45, now 1.52
Trends
Trends describe the past. They are not predictions and carry no edge - Agatha's pick is made independently.
St. Louis Cardinals
- The Cardinals are 46-58 as underdogs this season, their role tonight (-0.9u flat at closing prices).
- The over has hit in 29 of the last 50 Cardinals games with a closing total (+5.4u flat).
- The Cardinals are 2-8 over their last 10 games.
- The Cardinals are 2-8 over their last 10 on the road.
Milwaukee Brewers
- The Brewers are 82-43 as favorites this season, their role tonight (+11.0u flat at closing prices).
- The under has hit in 27 of the last 50 Brewers games with a closing total (+1.2u flat).
- The Brewers are 8-2 over their last 10 games.
- The Brewers are 8-2 over their last 10 at home.
Season series: the Brewers lead 10-2.
Priced trends settle against Agatha's own closing-line archive (tracked since May 2023) at flat 1u stakes.