Seattle Mariners vs Colorado Rockies Prediction
Agatha's pick
Seattle Mariners at Colorado Rockies - 8:10 PM ETAgatha projects SEA 7, COL 1Final: Mariners 5 - Rockies 458%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS1.56
The Seattle Mariners get the call here. On her scoreboard it ends SEA 7, COL 1. Recent form splits them: 5-5 for the Mariners, 1-9 for the Rockies.Sealed Pick #771 @ Sep 18, 7:55 PM ETFingerprint0dd79a363aadb99d250202b7bc56639fe42e2d9eb1cfafba5259731f9b334cdcTransactionea98411917f4b251d438f9c7b82a86df0ab90cf03291a8b66f6889048f54ffadOpen keyc35783a3f62661ee3dd367f65a9b62c0ac54ac40a4b1a452741537bb5cdf90bb- 57%LOSTLEAN1ULOSTSEALED ODDS1.68
The books hung 4.5 strikeouts on Bryan Woo; Agatha prices the over at 57% against roughly 56% implied at FanDuel, a 1-point disagreement. His recent work: 5, 9, 7, 5, 5 strikeouts over his last five starts (6.1 average); the over of 4.5 would have cashed in 5 of them. The matchup helps: Colorado Rockies hitters strike out 8.4 times a game, ranking 13 of 30 in strikeout-proneness over the last four months.Sealed Pick #772 @ Sep 18, 7:56 PM ETFingerprint50468c9123bb485a173e9ee281d04a41bf7e113a796ad5d96467e6eca2b388b3Transaction589e05a8406e775cca9b6444301f50f3d358bd9cc6979a56b30d323f0dd045aeOpen keyc35783a3f62661ee3dd367f65a9b62c0ac54ac40a4b1a452741537bb5cdf90bb - Seattle Mariners at Colorado Rockies - 8:10 PM ETFinished with 6 Ks56%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS2.00
Gabriel Hughes Over 3.5 strikeouts: her model says 56%, the price at BetMGM implies 46%, and the 10-point gap does the talking. His recent work: 2, 6, 4, 3, 2 strikeouts over his last five starts (3.6 average); the over of 3.5 would have cashed in 2 of them. The matchup helps: Colorado Rockies hitters strike out 8.4 times a game, ranking 13 of 30 in strikeout-proneness over the last four months.Sealed Pick #773 @ Sep 18, 7:56 PM ETFingerprintb88e892d935ba73f60bbb3a5fba46977a825d7d772ed8876a629ee20abe5c379Transaction661804e68b154e0d74f247dedb39ba5e9e618c298729c64a612ad35691dc11abOpen keyc35783a3f62661ee3dd367f65a9b62c0ac54ac40a4b1a452741537bb5cdf90bb
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| COL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
ESPN live win probability: COL 0%
Play-by-play
- [9] End of the 9th inning
- [9] Moniak struck out swinging.
- [9] Pitch 4 : Strike 3 Swinging
- [9] Pitch 3 : Ball 1
- [9] Pitch 2 : Strike 2 Foul
- [9] Carrigg caught stealing third, pitcher to third to shortstop.
- [9] Carrigg caught stealing third, pitcher to third to shortstop.
- [9] Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Foul
- [9] Andres Munoz pitches to Mickey Moniak
- [9] Karros struck out looking.
Game-day injuries
- Kris Bryant (COL) - 60-Day-IL
- Jose Quintana (COL) - 60-Day-IL
- Willi Castro (COL) - 10-Day-IL
- McCade Brown (COL) - 60-Day-IL
- Chase Dollander (COL) - 60-Day-IL
- Brendan Donovan (SEA) - 7-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (SEA) - 60-Day-IL
- Cole Wilcox (SEA) - 15-Day-IL
- Will Wilson (SEA) - 60-Day-IL
- Emerson Hancock (SEA) - 15-Day-IL
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (COL)
+1.5
Total
10.5
Moneyline
- SEA
- 1.53
- COL
- 2.54
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (9 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 2.54, now 2.54
- Moneyline (home): opened 2.62, now 2.63