Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
Agatha's pick
Washington Nationals at St. Louis Cardinals - 2:15 PM ETAgatha projects WSH 2, STL 9Final: Nationals 3 - Cardinals 555%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS1.84
The St. Louis Cardinals are the lean in this game. Recent form splits them: 3-7 for the Cardinals, 6-4 for the Nationals. Her projection lands WSH 2, STL 9.Sealed Pick #989 @ Sep 20, 2:00 PM ETFingerprint7f8c86b892e46c44a8a9ec847e2330cd6a5c15bef2ca8bc38c1278681297a08bTransaction72347ed47f4e882a13784a14659a863544e3c34f220df309bd14341bf8c43059Open key1fef75d51285db0cfeaa36265630a8b8636d5282ee9ac77695aa4a5cc47967e2- Washington Nationals at St. Louis Cardinals - 2:15 PM ETFinished with 8 Ks55%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS1.85
Agatha prices Jake Irvin's over of 3.5 strikeouts at 55%; the market's number at BetMGM implies about 52%. That 3-point disagreement is the call. His recent work: 3, 5, 6, 4, 6 strikeouts over his last five starts (4.0 average); the over of 3.5 would have cashed in 4 of them. The matchup helps: St. Louis Cardinals hitters strike out 7.8 times a game, ranking 24 of 30 in strikeout-proneness over the last four months.Sealed Pick #990 @ Sep 20, 2:00 PM ETFingerprint940e0e6bd522c8a8d16bcb594962b7534ede4f15835e96921170838f29b0ddd7Transaction5e7e17a1c86cd6022370218ff4b4ec67d88af0b49d4ad229eb56594030daf106Open key1fef75d51285db0cfeaa36265630a8b8636d5282ee9ac77695aa4a5cc47967e2
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| STL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | 5 |
ESPN live win probability: STL 100%
Play-by-play
- [9] Ruiz grounded out to first.
- [9] Pitch 1 : Ball In Play
- [9] Riley O'Brien pitches to Keibert Ruiz
- [9] Ruiz hit for Ford
- [9] Lile popped out to shortstop.
- [9] Pitch 2 : Ball In Play
- [9] Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Foul
- [9] Riley O'Brien pitches to Daylen Lile
- [9] Crews lined out to left.
Game-day injuries
- Everson Pereira (STL) - 10-Day-IL
- Blaze Jordan (STL) - 10-Day-IL
- Joshua Baez (STL) - 10-Day-IL
- Hunter Dobbins (STL) - 15-Day-IL
- Max Rajcic (STL) - 60-Day-IL
- Orlando Ribalta (WSH) - 15-Day-IL
- DJ Herz (WSH) - 60-Day-IL
- PJ Poulin (WSH) - 60-Day-IL
- Connelly Early (WSH) - 60-Day-IL
- Matt Waldron (WSH) - 60-Day-IL
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (STL)
-1.5
Total
8.5
Moneyline
- WSH
- 2.04
- STL
- 1.81
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (4 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.67, now 1.77
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.71, now 1.83