Washington Nationals vs Detroit Tigers Prediction
Agatha's pick
Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers - 6:40 PM ETAgatha projects WSH 4, DET 5Final: Nationals 3 - Tigers 165%LOSTLEAN1ULOSTSEALED ODDS1.69
Her model puts the Detroit Tigers 8 points above what the market charges: 65% against about 57% at BetOnline. The Tigers come in 6-4 across their last ten; the Nationals arrive 6-4.Sealed Pick #1136 @ Sep 22, 6:25 PM ETFingerprintd40a47eab4b517bd2dce46cc6884030d4865354057441273c67517e291b7e938Transaction7752bb939a7daa64f009b7544ffb0bc6171ea759ae2ed7727ba2a34d8af045cbOpen key79186ec1bfd02abd31ec4fc341ab2f52b54c7600f9ca1269df34636dda6c9298- Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers - 6:40 PM ETVoid: pitcher did not start58%VOIDLEAN1UVOIDSEALED ODDS1.67
Agatha prices Jackson Kent's over of 3.5 strikeouts at 58%; the market's number at DraftKings implies about 56%. That 2-point disagreement is the call. His recent work: 4, 2, 4, 3, 5 strikeouts over his last five starts (3.9 average); the over of 3.5 would have cashed in 3 of them. The matchup helps: Detroit Tigers hitters strike out 8.7 times a game, ranking 8 of 30 in strikeout-proneness over the last four months.Sealed Pick #1137 @ Sep 22, 6:25 PM ETFingerprint66b821ec948afd90baaa2ca61a8b99f68f87075eb0250ac7d160e1d9ce7652ddTransactione2aee963a2c70ad539948cb8b5d231ebd409e56e4be6fd51bc8c916d6f96f8edOpen key79186ec1bfd02abd31ec4fc341ab2f52b54c7600f9ca1269df34636dda6c9298
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
ESPN live win probability: DET 0%
Play-by-play
- [9] End of the 9th inning
- [9] McGonigle struck out looking. Detroit Tigers challenged: call on the field was upheld.
- [9] Pitch 4 : Strike 3 Looking
- [9] Pitch 3 : Strike 2 Foul
- [9] Pitch 2 : Ball 1
- [9] Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Foul
- [9] Erik Tolman pitches to Kevin McGonigle
- [9] McKinstry ran for Lee
- [9] Lee walked.
- [9] Pitch 7 : Ball 4
Game-day injuries
- Kerry Carpenter (DET) - 10-Day-IL
- Jack Flaherty (DET) - 15-Day-IL
- Justin Verlander (DET) - 60-Day-IL
- Kyle Finnegan (DET) - 15-Day-IL
- Colt Keith (DET) - 10-Day-IL
- Orlando Ribalta (WSH) - 15-Day-IL
- PJ Poulin (WSH) - 60-Day-IL
- Connelly Early (WSH) - 60-Day-IL
- Matt Waldron (WSH) - 60-Day-IL
- Drew Millas (WSH) - 60-Day-IL
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (DET)
-1.5
Total
8
Moneyline
- WSH
- 2.30
- DET
- 1.65
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (6 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.63, now 1.67
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.68, now 1.69