Washington Nationals vs Detroit Tigers Prediction
Agatha's pick

Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers - 1:10 PM ETAgatha projects WSH 2, DET 3Final: Nationals 4 - Tigers 265%LOSTLEAN1ULOSTSEALED ODDS1.62
The market at BetOnline prices the Detroit Tigers near 60%; Agatha's number is 65%. A gap of 5 points is the reason this is a pick and not a pass. The form line actually favors the Nationals, 7-3 to 5-5 over the last ten; the model weighs more than the last two weeks.Sealed Pick #1198 @ Sep 23, 12:56 PM ETFingerprinta30263dd6449e5a86d4ae1cc30d699ad6468b320cc665e048a682d1c39b9f4deTransactionde77c5e4e22123c698b1a292132eedc57cb9bcd1519d8a030162f79b08906146Open key04da1905f250c4cf2d4a3b920ec4cc7e6934ed2b5f98a06c3470a184f92d4491
Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers - 1:10 PM ETFinished with 6 Ks58%LOSTLEAN1ULOSTSEALED ODDS1.67
The books hung 5.5 strikeouts on Framber Valdez; Agatha prices the under at 58% against roughly 56% implied at Bovada, a 2-point disagreement. His recent work: 8, 2, 3, 5, 0 strikeouts over his last five starts (3.9 average); the under of 5.5 would have cashed in 4 of them. The matchup helps: Detroit Tigers hitters strike out 8.8 times a game, ranking 8 of 30 in strikeout-proneness over the last four months.Sealed Pick #1199 @ Sep 23, 12:56 PM ETFingerprintbcec6943ed48f1c4b2172f85fbe87846cd093dbbe18a3095b3469bd1ad15ac2aTransactionc8aa5e70d230b3f7a5d4f9d3b861b03cff5c0601001528107af1197c85b58e46Open key04da1905f250c4cf2d4a3b920ec4cc7e6934ed2b5f98a06c3470a184f92d4491
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
ESPN live win probability: DET 0%
Play-by-play
- [9] End of the 9th inning
- [9] Greene flied out to left.
- [9] Pitch 5 : Ball In Play
- [9] Pitch 4 : Ball 2
- [9] Pitch 3 : Strike 2 Swinging
- [9] Pitch 2 : Ball 1
- [9] Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Looking
- [9] Yovanny Cruz pitches to Riley Greene
- [9] Malgeri singled to right, Jung scored, McGonigle to third.
- [9] Pitch 1 : Ball In Play
Game-day injuries
- Kerry Carpenter (DET) - 10-Day-IL
- Jack Flaherty (DET) - 15-Day-IL
- Justin Verlander (DET) - 60-Day-IL
- Kyle Finnegan (DET) - 15-Day-IL
- Colt Keith (DET) - 10-Day-IL
- Orlando Ribalta (WSH) - 15-Day-IL
- PJ Poulin (WSH) - 60-Day-IL
- Connelly Early (WSH) - 60-Day-IL
- Matt Waldron (WSH) - 60-Day-IL
- Drew Millas (WSH) - 60-Day-IL
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (DET)
-1.5
Total
7.5
Moneyline
- WSH
- 2.40
- DET
- 1.60
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (12 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.54, now 1.59
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.59, now 1.62