Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction
Agatha's call
New York Yankees to win53%
Price 1.88 at Pinnacle
Projected final: Baltimore Orioles 2, New York Yankees 4
Why
Agatha leans the New York Yankees in this one. She has this one BAL 2, NYY 4 on the scoreboard. The form line actually favors the Orioles, 6-4 to 5-5 over the last ten; the model weighs more than the last two weeks.
Player props
- Shane Baz Under 5.5 strikeouts - 1.67 at BetMGM - 53%
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (NYY)
-1.5
Total
7.5
Moneyline
- BAL
- 2.02
- NYY
- 1.81
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (6 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.69, now 1.83
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.74, now 1.87
Trends
Trends describe the past. They are not predictions and carry no edge - Agatha's pick is made independently.
Baltimore Orioles
- The Orioles are 38-52 as underdogs this season, their role tonight (-8.2u flat at closing prices).
- The under has hit in 28 of the last 50 Orioles games with a closing total (+2.8u flat).
- The Orioles are 6-4 over their last 10 games.
- The Orioles are 5-5 over their last 10 on the road.
New York Yankees
- The Yankees are 76-53 as favorites this season, their role tonight (-2.9u flat at closing prices).
- The over has hit in 29 of the last 50 Yankees games with a closing total (+5.4u flat).
- The Yankees are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
- The Yankees are 7-3 over their last 10 at home.
Season series: the Yankees lead 9-3.
Priced trends settle against Agatha's own closing-line archive (tracked since May 2023) at flat 1u stakes.