San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies Prediction

Agatha prices Kyle Freeland's over of 2.5 strikeouts at 59%; the market's number at BetMGM implies about 53%. That 6-point disagreement is the call. His recent work: 5, 2, 3, 8, 2 strikeouts over his last five starts (4.4 average); the over of 2.5 would have cashed in 3 of them. The matchup helps: Colorado Rockies hitters strike out 8.4 times a game, ranking 13 of 30 in strikeout-proneness over the last four months.

The strikeout line on Walker Buehler sits at 3.5. Agatha reads the over 11 points richer than the market: 55% against an implied 44% at DraftKings. His recent work: 4, 6, 3, 4, 4 strikeouts over his last five starts (3.8 average); the over of 3.5 would have cashed in 4 of them. The matchup helps: Colorado Rockies hitters strike out 8.4 times a game, ranking 13 of 30 in strikeout-proneness over the last four months.