San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies Prediction
Agatha's pick

56%LOSTLEAN1ULOSTSEALED ODDS1.96
Mason Adams Over 3.5 strikeouts: her model says 56%, the price at FanDuel implies 49%, and the 7-point gap does the talking. His recent work: 5, 7, 5, 5 strikeouts over his last four starts (5.5 average); the over of 3.5 would have cashed in 4 of them. The matchup helps: Colorado Rockies hitters strike out 8.4 times a game, ranking 13 of 30 in strikeout-proneness over the last four months.Sealed Pick #690 @ Sep 16, 8:25 PM ETFingerprint236b5cff3170036055376a0c8b10eb0d5ca5d238aa254bbcbbe5eee448be13aaTransaction662cdd795ee39cd58df2a65f0d196f8515492012289932c99d4f76fb4894eea9Open key73b45eced24dd147374e48e8c37b385efc67e810ae287ff7cbba7b12259f3a55
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SD | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| COL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
ESPN live win probability: COL 0%
Play-by-play
- [9] End of the 9th inning
- [9] Tovar grounded out to third.
- [9] Pitch 5 : Ball In Play
- [9] Pitch 4 : Strike 2 Foul
- [9] Pitch 3 : Ball 2
- [9] Pitch 2 : Ball 1
- [9] Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Looking
- [9] Yuki Matsui pitches to Ezequiel Tovar
- [9] Fulford walked.
- [9] Pitch 5 : Ball 4
Game-day injuries
- Willi Castro (COL) - 10-Day-IL
- Hunter Goodman (COL) - Day-To-Day
- Kris Bryant (COL) - 60-Day-IL
- Jose Quintana (COL) - 60-Day-IL
- McCade Brown (COL) - 60-Day-IL
- Miguel Andujar (SD) - 10-Day-IL
- Jason Adam (SD) - 60-Day-IL
- Joe Musgrove (SD) - 60-Day-IL
- Lucas Giolito (SD) - 60-Day-IL
- Gavin Sheets (SD) - 10-Day-IL
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (COL)
+1.5
Total
11
Moneyline
- SD
- 1.63
- COL
- 2.46
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (7 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 2.45, now 2.35
- Moneyline (home): opened 2.67, now 2.44