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Phillies vs Braves Prediction

Thursday, Oct 1, 2026, 8:00 PM ET, Truist Park, Atlanta, NL Wild Card, Game 3

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

Philadelphia PhilliesAWAYPhiladelphiaPhillies

FINAL

0260

AGATHA'S PICKAtlanta BravesHOMEAtlantaBraves
55%WIN CHANCEBraves to WinWON#18 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 55%

Agatha's pick: Braves to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Braves 6, Phillies 2

SEALED ODDS
-105BetRivers
CLOSING ODDS
-114BetRivers, at the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.95uat the sealed price
GRADED
11:01 PM ETreceipt #18

Game Center

Team123456789T
PHI0000010102
ATL30020010-6

Play-by-play

  • [9] Kemp struck out swinging.
  • [9] Pitch 5 : Strike 3 Swinging
  • [9] Pitch 4 : Ball 2
  • [9] Pitch 3 : Strike 2 Foul
  • [9] Pitch 2 : Ball 1
  • [9] Bohm to second on fielder's indifference.
  • [9] Bohm to second on fielder's indifference.
  • [9] Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Looking
  • [9] Chris Sale pitches to Otto Kemp
  • [9] Kemp hit for Marsh

Game-day injuries

  • Lane Thomas (ATL) - 10-Day-IL
  • Reynaldo Lopez (ATL) - 15-Day-IL
  • Joe Jimenez (ATL) - 60-Day-IL
  • Tyler Mahle (ATL) - Day-To-Day
  • Martin Perez (ATL) - 15-Day-IL
  • Jonathan Bowlan (PHI) - Day-To-Day
  • Luis Arraez (PHI) - Day-To-Day
  • Caleb Kilian (PHI) - 60-Day-IL
  • Felix Reyes (PHI) - 60-Day-IL
  • Johan Rojas (PHI) - 60-Day-IL
PHI

Tale of the tape

ATL

Phillies vs Braves recent form

PHI 2-3 Phillies: last 5 games

  1. W4-3ATL Sep 30 Atlanta Braves, 4-3
  2. L3-5ATL Sep 29 Atlanta Braves, 3-5
  3. W7-3TB Sep 27 Tampa Bay Rays, 7-3
  4. L1-12TB Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays, 1-12
  5. L0-2TB Sep 25 Tampa Bay Rays, 0-2

ATL 2-3 Braves: last 5 games

  1. L3-4PHI Sep 30 Philadelphia Phillies, 3-4
  2. W5-3PHI Sep 29 Philadelphia Phillies, 5-3
  3. L3-5MIA Sep 27 Miami Marlins, 3-5
  4. W8-3MIA Sep 26 Miami Marlins, 8-3
  5. L0-3MIA Sep 25 Miami Marlins, 0-3
Runs scored, last 5PHI 15ATL 19
Runs allowed, last 5fewer is betterPHI 25ATL 18

Phillies vs Braves head-to-head

Since Sep 5, 2026: Phillies 4, Braves 4

  1. Sep 30, 2026Phillies 4-3NL Wild Card, Game 2
  2. Sep 29, 2026Braves 5-3NL Wild Card, Game 1
  3. Sep 13, 2026Phillies 9-4
  4. Sep 12, 2026Braves 12-2
  5. Sep 11, 2026Braves 6-5
  6. Sep 7, 2026Phillies 1-0
  7. Sep 6, 2026Braves 5-4
  8. Sep 5, 2026Phillies 4-2

Phillies vs Braves line movement

MONEYLINE Braves to win at BetRivers

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (ATL)

+1

Total

7.5

Moneyline

PHI
-106
ATL
-114

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (25 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (ATL) at FanDuel: opened +110, now -108
  • Spread (ATL) at FanDuel: opened +1.5, now +1.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 7.5, now 7.5

Agatha's pick for Phillies vs Braves

The Braves. Agatha gave Atlanta a 55% chance to win at Truist Park, Atlanta. It was one of Agatha's Best MLB Bets for Oct 1.

TV: NBC, Peacock

Best Bets on this game

  1. mlbFINAL
    Aaron Nola Over 3.5 strikeouts
    Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves - 8:00 PM ET
    57%
    LOSTLEAN1U
    LOST
    SEALED ODDS-111Pinnacle
  2. mlbFINAL
    Ray Kerr Over 0.5 strikeouts
    Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves - 8:00 PM ET
    80%
    WONLEAN1U
    WON
    SEALED ODDS-240MyBookie