Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction
Agatha's pick
Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets - 7:10 PM ETAgatha projects PHI 1, NYM 8Final: Phillies 3 - Mets 657%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS1.88
Her model puts the New York Mets 2 points above what the market charges: 57% against about 54% at BetRivers. The form line actually favors the Phillies, 5-5 to 4-6 over the last ten; the model weighs more than the last two weeks.Sealed Pick #760 @ Sep 18, 6:56 PM ETFingerprint8260dc91decf650a585d2cde1464e1cfa9e288bdce3b2bc9e8f235a59481789eTransaction70b2fd1600b542c0b0e004adae4ddf176d5ee8bd93ee86fbd8a876d7210f866fOpen keyc35783a3f62661ee3dd367f65a9b62c0ac54ac40a4b1a452741537bb5cdf90bb
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| NYM | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - | 6 |
ESPN live win probability: NYM 100%
Play-by-play
- [9] Realmuto flied out to center.
- [9] Pitch 1 : Ball In Play
- [9] Dedniel Nunez pitches to J.T. Realmuto
- [9] Stott lined out to center.
- [9] Pitch 4 : Ball In Play
- [9] Pitch 3 : Ball 2
- [9] Pitch 2 : Strike 1 Looking
- [9] Pitch 1 : Ball 1
- [9] Dedniel Nunez pitches to Bryson Stott
Game-day injuries
- Cionel Perez (NYM) - 15-Day-IL
- Devin Williams (NYM) - 15-Day-IL
- Jared Young (NYM) - 7-Day IL
- Daniel Duarte (NYM) - 15-Day-IL
- Robert Stock (NYM) - 15-Day-IL
- Jonathan Bowlan (PHI) - Day-To-Day
- Jesus Luzardo (PHI) - 15-Day-IL
- Caleb Kilian (PHI) - 60-Day-IL
- Felix Reyes (PHI) - 60-Day-IL
- Johan Rojas (PHI) - 60-Day-IL
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (NYM)
-1.5
Total
8.5
Moneyline
- PHI
- 2.09
- NYM
- 1.83
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (13 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.85, now 1.80
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.94, now 1.80