Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers Prediction
Agatha's pick
Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers - 1:10 PM ETFinished with 6 Ks55%LOSTLEAN1ULOSTSEALED ODDS1.47
Her strikeout read on Justin Verlander: Under 5.5. His recent work: 1, 7, 3, 3, 4 strikeouts over his last five starts (4.9 average); the under of 5.5 would have cashed in 4 of them.Sealed Pick #1419 @ Sep 26, 12:55 PM ETFingerprint7cd8b1099441945159a4323cf770e624ee6353f3a5c438a8f640a62e40369691Transactionfa0f28b89d6c77f46178424d6d48bf06aba73d5a973cb2d4347c8dcabc07fda1Open keyb129a1c4e68bd084cdd92e91ce05500f1d6ce89fb53336437bd14cc6d5995e5d
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
ESPN live win probability: DET 100%
Play-by-play
- [9] Valencia homered to left center (400 feet), Lee scored.
- [9] Pitch 5 : Ball In Play
- [9] Pitch 4 : Strike 2 Foul
- [9] Pitch 3 : Ball 1
- [9] Pitch 2 : Strike 2 Foul
- [9] Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Foul
- [9] Mason Montgomery pitches to Eduardo Valencia
- [9] McGonigle grounded out to second, Clark scored, Lee to third.
- [9] Pitch 3 : Ball In Play
- [9] Pitch 2 : Ball 2
Game-day injuries
- Jack Flaherty (DET) - 15-Day-IL
- Kyle Finnegan (DET) - 15-Day-IL
- Kerry Carpenter (DET) - 60-Day-IL
- Burch Smith (DET) - 60-Day-IL
- Parker Meadows (DET) - 60-Day-IL
- Esmerlyn Valdez (PIT) - 10-Day-IL
- Isaac Mattson (PIT) - 15-Day-IL
- Oneil Cruz (PIT) - Day-To-Day
- Mitch Keller (PIT) - 60-Day-IL
- Braxton Ashcraft (PIT) - 15-Day-IL
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (DET)
-1.5
Total
9
Moneyline
- PIT
- 1.95
- DET
- 1.87
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (8 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.83, now 1.83
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.84, now 1.89
Trends
Trends describe the past. They are not predictions and carry no edge - Agatha's pick is made independently.
Pittsburgh Pirates
- The Pirates are 30-44 as underdogs this season, their role tonight (-10.0u flat at closing prices).
- The under has hit in 30 of the last 50 Pirates games with a closing total (+6.8u flat).
- The Pirates are 6-4 over their last 10 games.
- The Pirates are 6-4 over their last 10 on the road.
Detroit Tigers
- The Tigers are 47-41 as favorites this season, their role tonight (-7.1u flat at closing prices).
- The over has hit in 25 of the last 50 Tigers games with a closing total (-2.6u flat).
- The Tigers are 4-6 over their last 10 games.
- The Tigers are 7-3 over their last 10 at home.
Season series: the Tigers lead 3-2.
Priced trends settle against Agatha's own closing-line archive (tracked since May 2023) at flat 1u stakes.