Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers Prediction
Agatha's pick
Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers - 3:10 PM ET66%LEAN1UThe strikeout line on River Ryan sits at 2.5. Agatha reads the over 14 points richer than the market: 66% against an implied 52% at Fanatics. His recent work: 3, 4, 4, 8, 2 strikeouts over his last five starts (4.2 average); the over of 2.5 would have cashed in 4 of them. The matchup helps: Detroit Tigers hitters strike out 8.7 times a game, ranking 8 of 30 in strikeout-proneness over the last four months.- Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers - 3:10 PM ET55%LEAN1UOver 5.5 strikeouts for Jared Jones is the lean, at 55%. The log says 9, 9, 8, 9, 6 Ks across his last five starts, a 7.0 average, with this side landing in 5.
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Spread (DET)
+1.5
Total
8
Moneyline
- PIT
- 1.83
- DET
- 2.00
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (7 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 2.15, now 1.98
- Moneyline (home): opened 2.18, now 2.00
Trends
Trends describe the past. They are not predictions and carry no edge - Agatha's pick is made independently.
Pittsburgh Pirates
- The Pirates are 50-33 as favorites this season, their role tonight (+0.3u flat at closing prices).
- The under has hit in 30 of the last 50 Pirates games with a closing total (+6.8u flat).
- The Pirates are 6-4 over their last 10 games.
- The Pirates are 6-4 over their last 10 on the road.
Detroit Tigers
- The Tigers are 28-44 as underdogs this season, their role tonight (-12.0u flat at closing prices).
- The over has hit in 25 of the last 50 Tigers games with a closing total (-2.6u flat).
- The Tigers are 4-6 over their last 10 games.
- The Tigers are 7-3 over their last 10 at home.
Season series: the Tigers lead 3-2.
Priced trends settle against Agatha's own closing-line archive (tracked since May 2023) at flat 1u stakes.