Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction
Agatha's pick
55%LOSTLEAN1ULOSTSEALED ODDS1.83
Gerrit Cole Under 5.5 strikeouts: her model says 55%, the price at BetOnline implies 53%, and the 2-point gap does the talking. His recent work: 6, 4, 3, 5, 5 strikeouts over his last five starts (5.6 average); the under of 5.5 would have cashed in 4 of them. The matchup helps: New York Yankees hitters strike out 9.3 times a game, ranking 4 of 30 in strikeout-proneness over the last four months.Sealed Pick #1211 @ Sep 23, 6:50 PM ETFingerprintc79dae2a64922cdfbe2f1037296524420206bebac38877da87078dc92b9427e7Transaction12d6746eba8a1ddfc23d8138416836b7b30bd729bbdff90af992538c6c256d7cOpen key04da1905f250c4cf2d4a3b920ec4cc7e6934ed2b5f98a06c3470a184f92d4491
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| NYY | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | 9 |
ESPN live win probability: NYY 100%
Play-by-play
- [9] Mateo struck out swinging.
- [9] Pitch 7 : Strike 3 Swinging
- [9] Pitch 6 : Strike 2 Foul
- [9] Pitch 5 : Ball 1
- [9] Pitch 4 : Strike 2 Foul
- [9] Pitch 3 : Strike 2 Foul
- [9] Pitch 2 : Strike 2 Swinging
- [9] Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Swinging
- [9] David Bednar pitches to Jorge Mateo
- [9] Mullins grounded out to second.
Game-day injuries
- Clarke Schmidt (NYY) - Day-To-Day
- Fernando Cruz (NYY) - 15-Day-IL
- Aaron Judge (NYY) - 10-Day-IL
- Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) - 60-Day-IL
- Trent Grisham (NYY) - 10-Day-IL
- Manuel Rodriguez (TB) - 15-Day-IL
- Garrett Cleavinger (TB) - 15-Day-IL
- Gavin Lux (TB) - 60-Day-IL
- Edwin Uceta (TB) - 60-Day-IL
- Jonathan Heasley (TB) - 60-Day-IL
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (NYY)
-1.5
Total
6.5
Moneyline
- TB
- 2.19
- NYY
- 1.71
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (20 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.69, now 1.69
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.74, now 1.74