AGATHANo gut feelings

Air Force vs Northern Illinois Prediction

Saturday, Oct 10, 2026, 7:30 PM ET, Huskie Stadium, Dekalb, Week 6

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

AGATHA'S PICKAir ForceAWAYAir Force

FINAL

2870

Northern IllinoisHOMENorthern Illinois
74%WIN CHANCEAir Force to WinWON#730 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 74%

Agatha's pick: Air Force to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Air Force 28, Northern Illinois 7

SEALED ODDS
-275BetMGM
CLOSING ODDS
Same as sealedat the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.36uat the sealed price
GRADED
10:11 PM ETreceipt #730

Game Center

Team1234T
Air Force7714028
Northern Illinois07007

Leaders

  • Taron Dickens (NIU): 13/20, 140 YDS, 1 INT
  • Telly Johnson Jr. (NIU): 8 CAR, 47 YDS, 1 TD
  • DeAree Rogers (NIU): 7 REC, 81 YDS
  • Kemper Hodges (AFA): 0/1, 0 YDS
  • Evan Medders (AFA): 16 CAR, 114 YDS, 2 TD
Air Force

Tale of the tape

Northern Illinois

Air Force vs Northern Illinois recent form

Air Force 4-1 Air Force: last 5 games

  1. W14-9 Oct 3 Navy, 14-9
  2. W36-33 Sep 26 Nevada, 36-33
  3. L32-38 Sep 12 North Dakota State, 32-38
  4. W34-0 Sep 5 Duquesne, 34-0
  5. W42-21 Nov 28, 2025 Colorado State, 42-21

Northern Illinois 0-5 Northern Illinois: last 5 games

  1. L14-35 Sep 26 Georgia State, 14-35
  2. L17-42 Sep 19 Arizona, 17-42
  3. L24-28 Sep 12 Illinois State, 24-28
  4. L0-40 Sep 5 Iowa, 0-40
  5. L31-35 Nov 28, 2025 Kent State, 31-35
Points scored, last 5Air Force 158Northern Illinois 86
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterAir Force 101Northern Illinois 180

Air Force vs Northern Illinois line movement

MONEYLINE Air Force to win at BetMGM

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (Northern Illinois)

+7.5

Total

48.5

Moneyline

Air Force
-280
Northern Illinois
+235

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (23 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (Northern Illinois) at FanDuel: opened +430, now +215
  • Spread (Northern Illinois) at FanDuel: opened +13.5, now +7.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 47.5, now 48.5

Agatha's pick for Air Force vs Northern Illinois

Air Force. Agatha gave Air Force a 74% chance to win at Huskie Stadium, Dekalb. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picked Air Force

Air Force is 3-1 this season, and Northern Illinois is 0-4. Air Force beat Navy 14-9 at home on Oct 3. Air Force scored more points per game than Northern Illinois this season, 29.0 to 13.8. Agatha predicts a 30-24 Air Force win, about a 3-in-4 chance. The risk: Air Force lost 38-32 to North Dakota State on Sep 12.

TV: CBSSN

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  2. Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ETNevada vs Northern IllinoisAgatha's call: Nevada to win, 72%
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