AGATHANo gut feelings

Georgia vs Alabama Prediction

Saturday, Oct 10, 2026, 7:30 PM ET, Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, Week 6

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

GeorgiaAWAYGeorgia5-0

FINAL

2017

AGATHA'S PICKAlabamaHOMEAlabama5-0
56%WIN CHANCEAlabama to WinLOST#726 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 56%

Agatha's pick: Alabama to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Georgia 20, Alabama 17

SEALED ODDS
-121Pinnacle
CLOSING ODDS
-129Pinnacle, at the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
GRADED
11:11 PM ETreceipt #726

Game Center

Team1234T
Georgia377320
Alabama0143017

Leaders

  • Keelon Russell (ALA): 16/30, 185 YDS, 1 TD
  • Trae'shawn Brown (ALA): 9 CAR, 90 YDS
  • Ryan Coleman-Williams (ALA): 3 REC, 39 YDS
  • Gunner Stockton (UGA): 18/22, 249 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
  • Dwight Phillips Jr. (UGA): 17 CAR, 120 YDS
  • Jaden Reddell (UGA): 1 REC, 53 YDS
Georgia

Tale of the tape

Alabama

This season

Points per gameWHYGeorgia 51.4Alabama 49.6
Points against per gamefewer is betterGeorgia 13.4Alabama 20.8

Georgia vs Alabama recent form

Georgia 5-0 Georgia: last 5 games

  1. W38-14 Oct 3 Vanderbilt, 38-14
  2. W41-13 Sep 26 Oklahoma, 41-13
  3. W45-17 Sep 19 Arkansas, 45-17
  4. W70-20 Sep 12 Western Kentucky, 70-20
  5. W63-3 Sep 5 Tennessee State, 63-3

Alabama 5-0 Alabama: last 5 games

  1. W56-23 Oct 3 Mississippi State, 56-23
  2. W49-18 Sep 26 South Carolina, 49-18
  3. W50-36 Sep 19 Florida State, 50-36
  4. W45-17 Sep 12 Kentucky, 45-17
  5. W48-10 Sep 5 East Carolina, 48-10
Points scored, last 5Georgia 257Alabama 248
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterGeorgia 67Alabama 104

Georgia vs Alabama head-to-head

WHY

Since Dec 2, 2023: Alabama 3, Georgia 1

  1. Dec 6, 2025Georgia 28-7
  2. Sep 27, 2025Alabama 24-21
  3. Sep 28, 2024Alabama 41-34
  4. Dec 2, 2023Alabama 27-24

Georgia vs Alabama line movement

MONEYLINE Alabama to win at Pinnacle

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (Alabama)

-2.5

Total

52.5

Moneyline

Georgia
+115
Alabama
-135

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (51 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (Alabama) at FanDuel: opened +118, now -128
  • Spread (Alabama) at FanDuel: opened +2.5, now -2.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 51.5, now 52.5

Agatha's pick for Georgia vs Alabama

Alabama. Agatha gave Alabama a 56% chance to win at Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa. It was one of Agatha's Best NCAAF Bets for Oct 10.

Why Agatha picked Alabama

Alabama is 5-0 this season. Alabama won 56-23 at Mississippi State on Oct 3. The game is at Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, Alabama's home ground. Georgia scores 51.4 points a game and allows 13.4 this season. Agatha predicts a 29-25 Alabama win, slightly better than even. The risk: Georgia won the latest meeting, 28-7 at a neutral site on Dec 6, 2025.

TV: ABC

Up next

  1. Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ETMissouri vs GeorgiaAgatha's call: Georgia to win, 87%
  2. Sat, Nov 14, 12:45 PM ETAlabama vs VanderbiltAgatha's call: Alabama to win, 88%
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