AGATHANo gut feelings

NCAAF

Missouri State vs SMU Prediction

Missouri State at SMU

Final: Missouri State 24, SMU 34

Agatha's call

SMU to win91%

Price 1.01 at Betano

Projected final: Missouri State 13 - SMU 44

Why

SMU to win is where the model lands, 91%.

Score it her way and Missouri State manage just 13 in a Missouri State 13, SMU 44 final.

Against the spread she takes Missouri State +31.5.

Game Center

Team1234T
Missouri State10001424
SMU01471334

ESPN live win probability: SMU 100%

Leaders

  • Kevin Jennings (SMU): 33/39, 464 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
  • Kendrick Raphael (SMU): 23 CAR, 98 YDS, 1 TD
  • Yamir Knight (SMU): 11 REC, 164 YDS, 1 TD
  • Skyler Locklear (MOST): 15/19, 102 YDS, 1 TD
  • Breezy Dubar (MOST): 7 CAR, 76 YDS
  • Isaiah Myers (MOST): 5 REC, 46 YDS, 1 TD

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (SMU)

-30.5

Total

59.5

Moneyline

Missouri State
29.00
SMU
1.01

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (26 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (home): opened 1.00, now 1.01
  • Moneyline (home): opened 1.00, now 1.01