Missouri State vs Western Kentucky Prediction
Thursday, Oct 8, 2026, 7:00 PM ET, Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium, Bowling Green, Week 6
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AGATHA'S PICK
AWAYMissouri StateAGATHA'S PICK
HOMEWestern Kentucky1-4
AWAYMissouri StatePREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
1334vs
Predicted --
HOMEWestern Kentucky1-455%WIN CHANCELIVE READWestern Kentucky to WinWON#546 SEALEDSEALED ODDS -Agatha's pick: Western Kentucky to WinTHE VERDICT
Win chance at the seal 55%
Final score: Western Kentucky 34, Missouri State 13
- SEALED ODDS
- +110Bovada
- CLOSING ODDS
- Same as sealedat the start
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- WON +1.10uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 10:11 PM ETreceipt #546
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 13 |
| Western Kentucky | 7 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 34 |
Leaders
- Brock Glenn (WKU): 20/35, 231 YDS, 1 TD
- Ajay Allen (WKU): 13 CAR, 105 YDS, 2 TD
- Jonathan Stafford Jr. (WKU): 6 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD
- Henry Belin IV (MOST): 8/14, 115 YDS, 1 TD
- Skyler Locklear (MOST): 8 CAR, 76 YDS
- Isaiah Myers (MOST): 3 REC, 77 YDS, 1 TD
Missouri StateTale of the tape
Western KentuckyMissouri State vs Western Kentucky recent form
Missouri State 1-4 Missouri State: last 5 games
- L24-34 Sep 26 SMU, 24-34
- L24-30 Sep 19 Marshall, 24-30
- W48-14 Sep 12 Lindenwood, 48-14
- L0-50 Sep 5 Texas A&M, 0-50
- L28-34 Dec 18, 2025 Arkansas State, 28-34
Western Kentucky 1-4 Western Kentucky: last 5 games
- L13-34 Oct 1 New Mexico State, 13-34
- W52-7 Sep 26 Mercyhurst, 52-7
- L0-38 Sep 19 Indiana, 0-38
- L20-70 Sep 12 Georgia, 20-70
- L14-49 Sep 5 Nevada, 14-49
Points scored, last 5Missouri State 124Western Kentucky 99
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterMissouri State 162Western Kentucky 198
Missouri State vs Western Kentucky head-to-head
Since Sep 27, 2025: Western Kentucky 1, Missouri State 0
- Sep 27, 2025Western Kentucky 27-22
Missouri State vs Western Kentucky line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (Western Kentucky)
+1.5
Total
56.5
Moneyline
- Missouri State
- -128
- Western Kentucky
- +106
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (36 snapshots)
- Moneyline (Western Kentucky) at FanDuel: opened -125, now +106
- Spread (Western Kentucky) at FanDuel: opened -2.5, now +1.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 55.5, now 56.5
Agatha's pick for Missouri State vs Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky. Agatha gave Western Kentucky a 55% chance to win at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium, Bowling Green. It was one of Agatha's Best NCAAF Bets for Oct 8.
TV: CBSSN