Nevada vs UTEP Prediction
Saturday, Oct 10, 2026, 7:00 PM ET, Sun Bowl, El Paso, Week 6
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AWAYNevadaPREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
Predicted --
HOMEUTEP1-4Win chance at the seal 59%
Final score: Nevada 30, UTEP 13
- SEALED ODDS
- -350Betway
- CLOSING ODDS
- -400Betway, at the start
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- WON +0.29uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 10:40 PM ETreceipt #723
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada | 7 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 30 |
| UTEP | 0 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 13 |
Leaders
- Raymond Moore III (UTEP): 16/26, 132 YDS, 2 TD
- Raymond Moore III (UTEP): 15 CAR, 65 YDS
- Jaden Smith (UTEP): 4 REC, 56 YDS, 1 TD
- Carter Jones (NEV): 11/19, 82 YDS, 1 TD
- Herschel Turner (NEV): 19 CAR, 192 YDS, 1 TD
- Gary Givens III (NEV): 5 REC, 46 YDS
NevadaTale of the tape
UTEPNevada vs UTEP recent form
WHYNevada 1-4 Nevada: last 5 games
- L33-36 Sep 26 Air Force, 33-36
- L20-27 Sep 19 Middle Tennessee, 20-27
- L7-20 Sep 12 Montana State, 7-20
- W49-14 Sep 5 Western Kentucky, 49-14
- L17-42 Nov 29, 2025 UNLV, 17-42
UTEP 1-4 UTEP: last 5 games
- L7-61 Oct 3 New Mexico, 7-61
- L7-33 Sep 26 Oregon State, 7-33
- L17-52 Sep 19 Michigan, 17-52
- W51-10 Sep 12 Texas Southern, 51-10
- L0-51 Sep 4 Oklahoma, 0-51
Nevada vs UTEP line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (UTEP)
+10
Total
48.5
Moneyline
- Nevada
- -385
- UTEP
- +306
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (19 snapshots)
- Moneyline (UTEP) at FanDuel: opened +340, now +310
- Spread (UTEP) at FanDuel: opened +10.5, now +9.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 51.5, now 48.5
Agatha's pick for Nevada vs UTEP
Nevada. Agatha gave Nevada a 59% chance to win at Sun Bowl, El Paso. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.
Why Agatha picked Nevada
UTEP has lost three games in a row. Nevada scored more points per game than UTEP this season, 27.3 to 16.4. Nevada allowed fewer points per game than UTEP this season, 24.3 to 41.4. Nevada is 1-3 this season. Agatha's prediction is a 28-23 Nevada win, about a 6-in-10 chance. The risk: Nevada has lost three games in a row.
TV: FS1