AGATHANo gut feelings

New Mexico State vs Florida International Prediction

Wednesday, Oct 7, 2026, 8:04 PM ET, Pitbull Stadium, Miami, Week 6

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

New Mexico StateAWAYNew Mexico State2-3

FINAL

0322

AGATHA'S PICKFlorida InternationalHOMEFlorida International
76%WIN CHANCEFlorida International to WinWON#488 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 76%

Agatha's pick: Florida International to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Florida International 22, New Mexico State 3

SEALED ODDS
-240Hard Rock
CLOSING ODDS
Same as sealedat the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.42uat the sealed price
GRADED
11:32 PM ETreceipt #488

Game Center

Team1234T
New Mexico State03003
Florida International736622

Leaders

  • JJ Kohl (FIU): 12/21, 115 YDS, 1 INT
  • Devonte Lyons (FIU): 14 CAR, 78 YDS
  • Greg Gaines III (FIU): 2 REC, 30 YDS
  • Adam Damante (NMSU): 9/22, 104 YDS, 1 INT
  • James Jones (NMSU): 15 CAR, 89 YDS
  • Terrione Graves (NMSU): 2 REC, 39 YDS
New Mexico State

Tale of the tape

Florida International

New Mexico State vs Florida International recent form

New Mexico State 2-3 New Mexico State: last 5 games

  1. W34-13 Oct 1 Western Kentucky, 34-13
  2. L18-42 Sep 26 New Mexico, 18-42
  3. L19-29 Sep 12 Hawai'i, 19-29
  4. W51-14 Sep 5 Mercyhurst, 51-14
  5. L17-34 Aug 29 Florida State, 17-34

Florida International 2-3 Florida International: last 5 games

  1. W20-3 Sep 26 Long Island University, 20-3
  2. L10-16 Sep 19 Florida Atlantic, 10-16
  3. W33-20 Sep 12 Buffalo, 33-20
  4. L9-19 Sep 5 South Florida, 9-19
  5. L20-57 Dec 26, 2025 UTSA, 20-57
Points scored, last 5New Mexico State 139Florida International 92
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterNew Mexico State 132Florida International 115

New Mexico State vs Florida International head-to-head

Since Oct 4, 2023: New Mexico State 1, Florida International 1

  1. Oct 29, 2024Florida International 34-13
  2. Oct 4, 2023New Mexico State 34-17

New Mexico State vs Florida International line movement

MONEYLINE Florida International to win at Hard Rock

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (Florida International)

-7

Total

46.5

Moneyline

New Mexico State
+218
Florida International
-250

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (56 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (Florida International) at FanDuel: opened -178, now -285
  • Spread (Florida International) at FanDuel: opened -4.5, now -7.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 50.5, now 47.5

Agatha's pick for New Mexico State vs Florida International

Florida International. Agatha gave Florida International a 76% chance to win at Pitbull Stadium, Miami. It was one of Agatha's Best NCAAF Bets for Oct 7.

TV: ESPN2

Up next

  1. Sat, Nov 14, 3:00 PM ETNew Mexico State vs Missouri StateAgatha's call: Missouri State to win, 66%
  2. Sat, Nov 14, 3:00 PM ETFlorida International vs DelawareAgatha's call: Delaware to win, 66%
  3. LIVEBuffalo vs Ball StateAgatha's call: Buffalo to win, 69%
  4. LIVESacramento State vs Central MichiganAgatha's call: Central Michigan to win, 90%
  5. LIVEMassachusetts vs ToledoAgatha's call: Toledo to win, 93%