North Carolina vs Pittsburgh Prediction
Saturday, Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, Week 6
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AGATHA'S PICK
AWAYNorth CarolinaAGATHA'S PICK
HOMEPittsburgh5-0
AWAYNorth CarolinaPREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
2117vs
Predicted --
HOMEPittsburgh5-087%WIN CHANCELIVE READPittsburgh to WinLOST#669 SEALEDSEALED ODDS -Agatha's pick: Pittsburgh to WinTHE VERDICT
Win chance at the seal 87%
Final score: North Carolina 21, Pittsburgh 17
- SEALED ODDS
- -160Betway
- CLOSING ODDS
- -165Betway, at the start
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 3:24 PM ETreceipt #669
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 |
| Pittsburgh | 7 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 17 |
Leaders
- Holden Geriner (PITT): 27/44, 219 YDS, 2 INT
- Damon Ferguson Jr. (PITT): 15 CAR, 49 YDS
- Malik Knight (PITT): 3 REC, 62 YDS
- Billy Edwards Jr. (UNC): 18/26, 249 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
- Benjamin Hall (UNC): 12 CAR, 25 YDS
- Jordan Shipp (UNC): 6 REC, 93 YDS
North CarolinaTale of the tape
PittsburghNorth Carolina vs Pittsburgh recent form
North Carolina 2-3 North Carolina: last 5 games
- L26-37 Oct 3 Notre Dame, 26-37
- L20-28 Sep 19 Clemson, 20-28
- W35-3 Sep 12 East Tennessee State, 35-3
- W15-10 Aug 29 TCU, 15-10
- L19-42 Nov 29, 2025 NC State, 19-42
Pittsburgh 5-0 Pittsburgh: last 5 games
- W35-33 Oct 2 Virginia Tech, 35-33
- W59-0 Sep 26 Bucknell, 59-0
- W27-13 Sep 17 Syracuse, 27-13
- W12-7 Sep 12 UCF, 12-7
- W59-14 Sep 5 Miami (OH), 59-14
Points scored, last 5North Carolina 115Pittsburgh 192
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterNorth Carolina 120Pittsburgh 67
North Carolina vs Pittsburgh head-to-head
Since Oct 5, 2024: Pittsburgh 1, North Carolina 0
- Oct 5, 2024Pittsburgh 34-24
North Carolina vs Pittsburgh line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (Pittsburgh)
-3.5
Total
47.5
Moneyline
- North Carolina
- +145
- Pittsburgh
- -170
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (36 snapshots)
- Moneyline (Pittsburgh) at FanDuel: opened -192, now -170
- Spread (Pittsburgh) at FanDuel: opened -4.5, now -3.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 49.5, now 47.5
Agatha's pick for North Carolina vs Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh. Agatha gave Pittsburgh an 87% chance to win at Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh. It was one of Agatha's Best NCAAF Bets for Oct 10.
TV: ESPN