AGATHANo gut feelings

San Diego State vs Oregon State Prediction

Saturday, Oct 10, 2026, 6:00 PM ET, Reser Stadium, Corvallis, Week 6

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

San Diego StateAWAYSan Diego State2-3

FINAL

1466

AGATHA'S PICKOregon StateHOMEOregon State3-2
67%WIN CHANCEOregon State to WinWON#708 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 67%

Agatha's pick: Oregon State to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Oregon State 66, San Diego State 14

SEALED ODDS
-599Betway
CLOSING ODDS
Same as sealedat the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.17uat the sealed price
GRADED
9:25 PM ETreceipt #708

Game Center

Team1234T
San Diego State077014
Oregon State142421766

Leaders

  • Braden Atkinson (ORST): 29/38, 409 YDS, 5 TD
  • AJ Newberry (ORST): 9 CAR, 55 YDS, 1 TD
  • Jesse Legree (ORST): 10 REC, 191 YDS, 3 TD
  • Jayden Denegal (SDSU): 5/19, 78 YDS, 1 TD
  • Javion Kinnard (SDSU): 11 CAR, 43 YDS
  • Jaylon Hawkins (SDSU): 1 REC, 43 YDS
San Diego State

Tale of the tape

Oregon State

This season

Points per gameSan Diego State 24.6Oregon State 37.0
Points against per gamefewer is betterSan Diego State 28.8Oregon State 23.6

San Diego State vs Oregon State recent form

WHY

San Diego State 2-3 San Diego State: last 5 games

  1. W31-29 Oct 3 Texas State, 31-29
  2. L16-41 Sep 26 Toledo, 16-41
  3. L13-26 Sep 19 James Madison, 13-26
  4. L10-28 Sep 12 UCLA, 10-28
  5. W53-20 Sep 5 Portland State, 53-20

Oregon State 3-2 Oregon State: last 5 games

  1. W56-26 Oct 3 Colorado State, 56-26
  2. W33-7 Sep 26 UTEP, 33-7
  3. W52-17 Sep 19 Montana, 52-17
  4. L24-35 Sep 12 Texas Tech, 24-35
  5. L20-33 Sep 5 Houston, 20-33
Points scored, last 5San Diego State 123Oregon State 185
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterSan Diego State 144Oregon State 118

San Diego State vs Oregon State head-to-head

WHY

Since Sep 7, 2024: Oregon State 1, San Diego State 0

  1. Sep 7, 2024Oregon State 21-0

San Diego State vs Oregon State line movement

MONEYLINE Oregon State to win at Betway

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (Oregon State)

-14.5

Total

52.5

Moneyline

San Diego State
+540
Oregon State
-800

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (36 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (Oregon State) at FanDuel: opened -580, now -800
  • Spread (Oregon State) at FanDuel: opened -13.5, now -14.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 51.5, now 52.5

Agatha's pick for San Diego State vs Oregon State

Oregon State. Agatha gave Oregon State a 67% chance to win at Reser Stadium, Corvallis. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picked Oregon State

Oregon State won their last meeting, 21-0 on the road on Sep 7, 2024. Oregon State won 56-26 at Colorado State on Oct 3. Oregon State has won three games in a row. Oregon State is 3-2 this season, 1-1 at home and 2-1 on the road. Agatha has Oregon State winning 30-22, about a 2-in-3 chance. The risk: San Diego State beat Texas State 31-29 at home on Oct 3.

TV: USA Net

Up next

  1. Sat, Nov 14, 9:30 PM ETUtah State vs San Diego StateAgatha's call: Utah State to win, 54%
  2. Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM ETOregon State vs Boise StateAgatha's call: Boise State to win, 90%
  3. LIVEBuffalo vs Ball StateAgatha's call: Buffalo to win, 69%
  4. LIVESacramento State vs Central MichiganAgatha's call: Central Michigan to win, 90%
  5. LIVEMassachusetts vs ToledoAgatha's call: Toledo to win, 93%