AGATHANo gut feelings

South Carolina vs Florida Prediction

Saturday, Oct 10, 2026, 12:45 PM ET, Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, Week 6

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

South CarolinaAWAYSouth Carolina2-3

FINAL

3819

AGATHA'S PICKFloridaHOMEFlorida4-1
78%WIN CHANCEFlorida to WinLOST#677 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 78%

Agatha's pick: Florida to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: South Carolina 38, Florida 19

SEALED ODDS
-400Betway
CLOSING ODDS
-350Betway, at the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
GRADED
4:37 PM ETreceipt #677

Game Center

Team1234T
South Carolina71014738
Florida733619

Leaders

  • Aaron Philo (FLA): 21/28, 227 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
  • Jadan Baugh (FLA): 15 CAR, 59 YDS, 1 TD
  • Bailey Stockton (FLA): 8 REC, 127 YDS, 1 TD
  • LaNorris Sellers (SC): 23/35, 279 YDS, 4 TD
  • Matt Fuller (SC): 10 CAR, 52 YDS
  • Nyck Harbor (SC): 4 REC, 83 YDS, 1 TD
South Carolina

Tale of the tape

Florida

This season

Points per gameWHYSouth Carolina 37.6Florida 46.2
Points against per gamefewer is betterSouth Carolina 26.8Florida 27.2

South Carolina vs Florida recent form

WHY

South Carolina 2-3 South Carolina: last 5 games

  1. L34-35 Oct 3 Kentucky, 34-35
  2. L18-49 Sep 26 Alabama, 18-49
  3. L34-41 Sep 19 Mississippi State, 34-41
  4. W45-9 Sep 12 Towson, 45-9
  5. W57-0 Sep 5 Kent State, 57-0

Florida 4-1 Florida: last 5 games

  1. L17-45 Oct 3 Missouri, 17-45
  2. W52-28 Sep 26 Ole Miss, 52-28
  3. W44-39 Sep 19 Auburn, 44-39
  4. W52-3 Sep 12 Campbell, 52-3
  5. W66-21 Sep 5 Florida Atlantic, 66-21
Points scored, last 5South Carolina 188Florida 231
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterSouth Carolina 134Florida 136

South Carolina vs Florida head-to-head

WHY

Since Oct 14, 2023: Florida 1, South Carolina 0

  1. Oct 14, 2023Florida 41-39

South Carolina vs Florida line movement

MONEYLINE Florida to win at Betway

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (Florida)

-10.5

Total

59.5

Moneyline

South Carolina
+360
Florida
-480

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (30 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (Florida) at FanDuel: opened -720, now -450
  • Spread (Florida) at FanDuel: opened -14.5, now -10.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 59.5, now 59.5

Agatha's pick for South Carolina vs Florida

Florida. Agatha gave Florida a 78% chance to win at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picked Florida

Florida scores 46.2 points a game and is 3-0 at home, while South Carolina has lost three games in a row. Florida beat Ole Miss 52-28 at home on Sep 26. Florida won 44-39 at Auburn on Sep 19. Florida also won their last meeting, 41-39 on the road on Oct 14, 2023. Agatha predicts a 32-21 Florida win, about a 4-in-5 chance. The risk is Florida lost 45-17 at Missouri on Oct 3.

TV: SEC Network

Up next

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  2. Sat, Nov 14, 6:15 PM ETFlorida vs KentuckyAgatha's call: Kentucky to win, 86%
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