South Florida vs UTSA Prediction
Thursday, Oct 8, 2026, 7:30 PM ET, Alamodome, San Antonio, Week 6
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AGATHA'S PICK
AWAYSouth Florida4-1AGATHA'S PICK
HOMEUTSA4-1
AWAYSouth Florida4-1PREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
2431vs
Predicted --
HOMEUTSA4-161%WIN CHANCELIVE READUTSA to WinWON#554 SEALEDSEALED ODDS -Agatha's pick: UTSA to WinTHE VERDICT
Win chance at the seal 61%
Final score: UTSA 31, South Florida 24
- SEALED ODDS
- -195BetRivers
- CLOSING ODDS
- -215BetRivers, at the start
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- WON +0.51uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 11:03 PM ETreceipt #554
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida | 14 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 24 |
| UTSA | 7 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 31 |
Leaders
- Owen McCown (UTSA): 22/31, 209 YDS
- A'Marion Peterson (UTSA): 12 CAR, 92 YDS, 3 TD
- David Amador II (UTSA): 9 REC, 70 YDS
- Michael Van Buren Jr. (USF): 16/29, 177 YDS, 2 TD
- D.J. Crowther (USF): 20 CAR, 83 YDS, 1 TD
- Bryson Rodgers (USF): 5 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD
South FloridaTale of the tape
UTSAThis season
Points per gameSouth Florida 26.6UTSA 31.4
Points against per gamefewer is betterSouth Florida 14.6UTSA 26.2
South Florida vs UTSA recent form
South Florida 4-1 South Florida: last 5 games
- L13-17 Oct 3 Temple, 13-17
- W14-6 Sep 26 Bowling Green, 14-6
- W59-17 Sep 19 Delaware State, 59-17
- W28-24 Sep 12 Army, 28-24
- W19-9 Sep 5 Florida International, 19-9
UTSA 4-1 UTSA: last 5 games
- W16-14 Oct 3 Rice, 16-14
- W59-45 Sep 26 Colorado State, 59-45
- L6-30 Sep 19 Texas, 6-30
- W31-26 Sep 12 Texas State, 31-26
- W45-16 Sep 5 UT Rio Grande Valley, 45-16
Points scored, last 5South Florida 133UTSA 157
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterSouth Florida 73UTSA 131
South Florida vs UTSA head-to-head
Since Nov 17, 2023: South Florida 1, UTSA 1
- Nov 6, 2025South Florida 55-23
- Nov 17, 2023UTSA 49-21
South Florida vs UTSA line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (UTSA)
-5.5
Total
49.5
Moneyline
- South Florida
- +185
- UTSA
- -225
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (43 snapshots)
- Moneyline (UTSA) at FanDuel: opened -250, now -230
- Spread (UTSA) at FanDuel: opened -6.5, now -5.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 60.5, now 49.5
South Florida vs UTSA betting trends
Against the spread, this seasonSouth Florida 2-3UTSA 3-2
Over/under, this seasonSouth Florida 2-3UTSA 2-3
Trends describe the past. They are not predictions and carry no edge - Agatha's pick is made independently.
Records against the line most North American sportsbooks closed at: win-loss against the spread, over-under on the total, a push third.
Agatha's pick for South Florida vs UTSA
UTSA. Agatha gave UTSA a 61% chance to win at Alamodome, San Antonio. It was one of Agatha's Best NCAAF Bets for Oct 8.
TV: ESPN