UAB vs Memphis Prediction
Saturday, Oct 10, 2026, 7:00 PM ET, Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, Memphis, Week 6
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AWAYUAB3-2PREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
Predicted --
HOMEMemphis4-1Win chance at the seal 84%
Final score: Memphis 38, UAB 13
- SEALED ODDS
- -650BetMGM
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- WON +0.15uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 10:28 PM ETreceipt #722
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UAB | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| Memphis | 7 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 38 |
Leaders
- Marcus Stokes (MEM): 11/21, 164 YDS, 2 TD
- Jaylin Carter (MEM): 19 CAR, 132 YDS, 2 TD
- Tychaun Chapman (MEM): 2 REC, 57 YDS, 1 TD
- Ryder Burton (UAB): 10/20, 131 YDS, 1 INT
- Rod Robinson II (UAB): 19 CAR, 65 YDS
- Ty Mims (UAB): 3 REC, 79 YDS
Tale of the tape
MemphisThis season
UAB vs Memphis recent form
UAB 3-2 UAB: last 5 games
- W33-14 Oct 3 Samford, 33-14
- W24-20 Sep 25 Navy, 24-20
- L14-21 Sep 19 Louisiana, 14-21
- W26-20 Sep 12 UL Monroe, 26-20
- L23-42 Sep 3 Illinois, 23-42
Memphis 4-1 Memphis: last 5 games
- W59-8 Oct 3 Charlotte, 59-8
- W45-21 Sep 19 UT Martin, 45-21
- L20-38 Sep 12 Boise State, 20-38
- W42-24 Sep 5 Arkansas State, 42-24
- W27-21 Aug 29 UNLV, 27-21
UAB vs Memphis head-to-head
WHYSince Oct 21, 2023: Memphis 2, UAB 1
- Oct 18, 2025
UAB 31-24 - Nov 16, 2024
Memphis 53-18 - Oct 21, 2023
Memphis 45-21
UAB vs Memphis line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (Memphis)
-15.5
Total
55
Moneyline
- UAB
- +600
- Memphis
- -1111
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (34 snapshots)
- Moneyline (Memphis) at FanDuel: opened -750, now -710
- Spread (Memphis) at FanDuel: opened -14.5, now -14.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 58.5, now 54.5
UAB vs Memphis betting trends
Trends describe the past. They are not predictions and carry no edge - Agatha's pick is made independently.
Records against the line most North American sportsbooks closed at: win-loss against the spread, over-under on the total, a push third.
Agatha's pick for UAB vs Memphis
Memphis. Agatha gave Memphis an 84% chance to win at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, Memphis. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.
Why Agatha picked Memphis
Memphis won 59-8 at Charlotte on Oct 3. Memphis allowed fewer points per game than UAB this season, 22.4 to 23.4. Memphis is 4-1 this season, and UAB is 3-2. Memphis scores 38.6 points a game and allows 22.4 this season. Agatha's prediction is a 35-21 Memphis win, about a 5-in-6 chance. The risk: UAB won the latest meeting, 31-24 at home on Oct 18, 2025.
TV: ESPN2