AGATHANo gut feelings

Wake Forest vs NC State Prediction

Saturday, Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, Week 6

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

Wake ForestAWAYWake Forest4-1

FINAL

3814

AGATHA'S PICKNC StateHOMENC State3-2
58%WIN CHANCENC State to WinLOST#670 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 58%

Agatha's pick: NC State to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Wake Forest 38, NC State 14

SEALED ODDS
+155Bovada
CLOSING ODDS
Same as sealedat the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
GRADED
3:21 PM ETreceipt #670

Game Center

Team1234T
Wake Forest7321738
NC State770014

Leaders

  • CJ Bailey (NCSU): 28/39, 241 YDS, 1 TD
  • Davion Gause (NCSU): 7 CAR, 11 YDS
  • Keenan Jackson (NCSU): 5 REC, 61 YDS
  • Gio Lopez (WAKE): 26/33, 303 YDS, 3 TD
  • Deuce Lawrence (WAKE): 8 CAR, 46 YDS, 1 TD
  • Jack Foley (WAKE): 8 REC, 156 YDS, 1 TD
Wake Forest

Tale of the tape

NC State

This season

Points per gameWake Forest 36.6NC State 36.8
Points against per gamefewer is betterWake Forest 23.0NC State 25.6

Wake Forest vs NC State recent form

WHY

Wake Forest 4-1 Wake Forest: last 5 games

  1. W57-3 Oct 3 Stanford, 57-3
  2. W30-27 Sep 26 Louisville, 30-27
  3. L20-33 Sep 18 Miami, 20-33
  4. W38-36 Sep 12 Purdue, 38-36
  5. W38-16 Sep 3 Akron, 38-16

NC State 3-2 NC State: last 5 games

  1. W31-28 Oct 3 Louisville, 31-28
  2. W41-31 Sep 26 App State, 41-31
  3. L31-35 Sep 19 Vanderbilt, 31-35
  4. W73-0 Sep 11 Richmond, 73-0
  5. L8-34 Aug 29 Virginia, 8-34
Points scored, last 5Wake Forest 183NC State 184
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterWake Forest 115NC State 128

Wake Forest vs NC State head-to-head

WHY

Since Nov 11, 2023: NC State 2, Wake Forest 1

  1. Sep 11, 2025NC State 34-24
  2. Oct 5, 2024Wake Forest 34-30
  3. Nov 11, 2023NC State 26-6

Wake Forest vs NC State line movement

MONEYLINE NC State to win at Bovada

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (NC State)

+4

Total

57

Moneyline

Wake Forest
-180
NC State
+150

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (37 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (NC State) at FanDuel: opened +105, now +136
  • Spread (NC State) at FanDuel: opened +2.5, now +3.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 58.5, now 56.5

Agatha's pick for Wake Forest vs NC State

NC State. Agatha gave NC State a 58% chance to win at Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh. It was one of Agatha's Best NCAAF Bets for Oct 10.

Why Agatha picked NC State

NC State plays at home at Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh and has won two games in a row. NC State won the latest meeting with Wake Forest 34-24 on the road on Sep 11, 2025, and beat Louisville 31-28 at home on Oct 3. Agatha predicts a 31-26 NC State win, close to a 6-in-10 chance. The risk is Wake Forest is 4-1 this season and won 34-30 on the road on Oct 5, 2024.

TV: CW

Up next

  1. Sat, Nov 14, 12:00 PM ETWake Forest vs SMUAgatha's call: SMU to win, 57%
  2. Sat, Nov 14, 12:00 PM ETSyracuse vs NC StateAgatha's call: NC State to win, 71%
  3. LIVEBuffalo vs Ball StateAgatha's call: Buffalo to win, 69%
  4. LIVESacramento State vs Central MichiganAgatha's call: Central Michigan to win, 90%
  5. LIVEMassachusetts vs ToledoAgatha's call: Toledo to win, 93%