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Broncos vs Chargers Prediction

Sunday, Oct 11, 2026, 4:05 PM ET, SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, Week 5

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

AGATHA'S PICKDenver BroncosAWAYDenverBroncos

FINAL

2317

Los Angeles ChargersHOMELos AngelesChargers
59%WIN CHANCEBroncos to WinWON#816 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 59%

Agatha's pick: Broncos to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Broncos 23, Chargers 17

SEALED ODDS
-180Unibet
CLOSING ODDS
-185Unibet, at the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.56uat the sealed price
GRADED
7:19 PM ETreceipt #816

Game Center

Team1234T
DEN7301323
LAC0314017

Play-by-play

  • [4- 2:00] Two-Minute Warning
  • [4- 2:29] A.Palczewski reported in as eligible. J.Dobbins right end to LAC 20 for 4 yards (T.Still).
  • [4- 2:29] A.Palczewski reported in as eligible. PENALTY on DEN, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at LAC 19 - No Play.
  • [4- 2:29] Timeout #2 by DEN at 02:29.
  • [4- 3:13] J.Dobbins left end to LAC 19 for 2 yards (E.Molden).
  • [4- 3:13] Timeout #3 by LAC at 03:13.
  • [4- 3:19] J.Dobbins left end to LAC 21 for 13 yards (E.Molden; R.Mickens).

Leaders

  • Justin Herbert (LAC): 14/24, 121 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
  • Kimani Vidal (LAC): 8 CAR, 57 YDS, 1 TD
  • Charlie Kolar (LAC): 3 REC, 37 YDS
  • Bo Nix (DEN): 16/27, 123 YDS, 1 TD
  • J.K. Dobbins (DEN): 18 CAR, 68 YDS, 1 TD
  • Evan Engram (DEN): 4 REC, 55 YDS

Game-day injuries

  • Bud Dupree (LAC) - Questionable
  • Tre' Harris (LAC) - Questionable
  • Rodney Shelley (LAC) - Out
  • Brenen Thompson (LAC) - Out
  • Quentin Johnston (LAC) - Out
  • Talanoa Hufanga (DEN) - Questionable
  • Sam Ehlinger (DEN) - Out
  • Pat Surtain II (DEN) - Out
  • Riley Moss (DEN) - Out
  • Tyler Onyedim (DEN) - Out
DEN

Tale of the tape

LAC

Broncos vs Chargers recent form

DEN 2-3 Broncos: last 5 games

  1. L14-24SF Oct 4 San Francisco 49ers, 14-24
  2. W30-26LAR Sep 27 Los Angeles Rams, 30-26
  3. W20-13JAX Sep 20 Jacksonville Jaguars, 20-13
  4. L10-31KC Sep 14 Kansas City Chiefs, 10-31
  5. L7-10NE Jan 25 New England Patriots, 7-10

LAC 0-5 Chargers: last 5 games

  1. L23-30SEA Oct 4 Seattle Seahawks, 23-30
  2. L16-24BUF Sep 27 Buffalo Bills, 16-24
  3. L14-26LV Sep 20 Las Vegas Raiders, 14-26
  4. L14-26ARI Sep 13 Arizona Cardinals, 14-26
  5. L3-16NE Jan 11 New England Patriots, 3-16
Points scored, last 5DEN 81LAC 70
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterDEN 104LAC 122

Broncos vs Chargers head-to-head

Since Dec 10, 2023: Broncos 3, Chargers 3

  1. Jan 4, 2026Broncos 19-3
  2. Sep 21, 2025Chargers 23-20
  3. Dec 19, 2024Chargers 34-27
  4. Oct 13, 2024Chargers 23-16
  5. Dec 31, 2023Broncos 16-9
  6. Dec 10, 2023Broncos 24-7

Broncos vs Chargers line movement

MONEYLINE Broncos to win at Unibet

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (LAC)

+3.5

Total

42

Moneyline

DEN
-182
LAC
+153

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (25 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (LAC) at FanDuel: opened +104, now +154
  • Spread (LAC) at FanDuel: opened +1.5, now +3.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 43.5, now 42.5

Agatha's pick for Broncos vs Chargers

The Broncos. Agatha gave Denver a 59% chance to win at SoFi Stadium, Inglewood. It was one of Agatha's Best NFL Bets for Oct 11.

TV: CBS

Up next

  1. Sun, Nov 22, 4:25 PM ETLas Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos
  2. Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 PM ETLos Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore RavensAgatha's call: Baltimore Ravens to win, 71%
  3. Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM ETNew England Patriots vs Detroit LionsAgatha's call: Detroit Lions to win, 56%
  4. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETKansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta FalconsAgatha's call: Kansas City Chiefs to win, 65%
  5. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETHouston Texans vs Cleveland BrownsAgatha's call: Houston Texans to win, 61%