Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction
Agatha's pick
Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs - 8:15 PM ETFinished with 2 receptions65%LOSTLEAN1ULOSTSEALED ODDS1.44
Her read on Adam Trautman is Under 1.5 receptions. The call asks a quieter night than the 1.5 catches a game he ran last season.Sealed Pick #571 @ Sep 14, 8:00 PM ETFingerprint67eac4b23d6e53c95e8bdfdabb0268516569788d2f036fd7cc31b9fa8e953713Transactionfc51a10009ca1a679c4de22cebb154ec7c18cd3986d414c0124d97d360ebefa4Open key544f77f7a3e01937760b42efe3f84b6abb4f8e7edad0d3d72794a186f344f306- Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs - 8:15 PM ETFinished with 3 receptions60%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS1.64
Agatha's NFL model makes it about 2.5 catches for Kenneth Walker III against a line of 3.5: the under is the call. His rate coming in is about 2.6 catches a game, weighted to his most recent work. The Broncos allowed just 19.7 catches a game against the league's 20.9.Sealed Pick #572 @ Sep 14, 8:00 PM ETFingerprinte32506a6ce91a0fcba7801235804d5ae1f43a303e945332e727eea1a0edabd51Transaction406a2b2fe449cb728c93011920106fd22e16baf605dbbed293a91b18ac2c3bf7Open key544f77f7a3e01937760b42efe3f84b6abb4f8e7edad0d3d72794a186f344f306 - Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs - 8:15 PM ETFinished with 1 receptions60%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS1.58Agatha's NFL model lands on Noah Gray Under 1.5 receptions, 60%. That means a quieter night than the 1.8 receptions a game he ran last season.Sealed Pick #573 @ Sep 14, 8:00 PM ETFingerprint4b7692070b28915178c17706d9664fa63c06c18cbfb0430583e20efe51d9aff2Transaction3cfe13f5ff1c0a2389317e4abef3aba17b79865235f2ce68452bd4cd71ea57b3Open key544f77f7a3e01937760b42efe3f84b6abb4f8e7edad0d3d72794a186f344f306
- Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs - 8:15 PM ETFinished with 0 receptions66%LOSTLEAN1ULOSTSEALED ODDS1.49
Her projection on J.K. Dobbins is 1.4 receptions, and the line asks 0.5, so she takes the over at 66%. He closed last season around 1.3 receptions a game.Sealed Pick #574 @ Sep 14, 8:00 PM ETFingerprint76c2550ca91d45f5cec569ff9b04e3aad2095d22f63a2d55cb0a0643baf0683dTransaction310c946dfe098626c445efb0e19e6a3bcc9781b815b7c5736601b8006afae2f5Open key544f77f7a3e01937760b42efe3f84b6abb4f8e7edad0d3d72794a186f344f306
No picks match these filters
Every pick on today's board is hidden by your filter choices.
Every sport is switched off
Switch a sport back on in settings to see its picks here.
Nothing here for the sports you have switched on
Your sports have no picks on today's board. Switch more sports on in settings to see the rest.
Nothing has earned the board yet
Agatha lists a pick only when the numbers clear the bar. The board fills in as today's lines settle.
Board refreshes every 2 minutesGame Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEN | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| KC | 7 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 31 |
ESPN live win probability: KC 100%
Play-by-play
- [4- 2:00] Two-Minute Warning
- [4- 2:16] E.Johnson up the middle to DEN 14 for 4 yards (B.Jones; Q.Robinson).
- [4- 3:02] E.Johnson left guard to DEN 18 for 3 yards (S.Jones).
- [4- 3:45] E.Johnson left guard to DEN 21 for 1 yard (D.Tillman; T.Hufanga).
- [4- 4:32] E.Johnson up the middle to DEN 22 for 6 yards (P.Surtain; A.Singleton).
Leaders
- Patrick Mahomes (KC): 15/27, 184 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
- Kenneth Walker III (KC): 23 CAR, 173 YDS, 1 TD
- Travis Kelce (KC): 3 REC, 71 YDS
- Bo Nix (DEN): 17/28, 131 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
- J.K. Dobbins (DEN): 8 CAR, 36 YDS
- Evan Engram (DEN): 4 REC, 43 YDS, 1 TD
Game-day injuries
- Cooper McDonald (KC) - Questionable
- Mansoor Delane (KC) - Out
- Garrett Nussmeier (KC) - Out
- Josh Simmons (KC) - Out
- Jared Wiley (KC) - Out
- Tyler Badie (DEN) - Out
- Sam Ehlinger (DEN) - Out
- Tyler Onyedim (DEN) - Out
- Jordan Jackson (DEN) - Out
- Dallen Bentley (DEN) - Out
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (KC)
-1.5
Total
42.5
Moneyline
- DEN
- 2.01
- KC
- 1.83
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (23 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.69, now 1.80
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.71, now 1.81