Cleveland Browns vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction
Agatha's pick
Cleveland Browns at Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 1:00 PM ETFinished with 3 receptions63%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS1.57
The model's number on Kenny Gainwell is 3.8 catches; at a line of 1.5, that reads over. His recent rate sits near 4.1 receptions a game. That is asking it of the Browns, who allow only about 18.8 catches a game against a league average of 20.5.Sealed Pick #962 @ Sep 20, 12:45 PM ETFingerprintcdb0603badb116683b841afdc33bf9c4a7c9a332f8646a7b8ecb7b09193a78ebTransaction65fa1d5390288b21b33d87e166af92f907f0806db22717b380cd7038264a0d94Open key1fef75d51285db0cfeaa36265630a8b8636d5282ee9ac77695aa4a5cc47967e2- Cleveland Browns at Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 1:00 PM ETFinished with 0 receptions63%LOSTLEAN1ULOSTSEALED ODDS1.48
The model's number on Jalen McMillan is 3 catches; at a line of 1.5, that reads over. He has been catching about 3.2 balls a game. That is asking it of the Browns, who allow only about 18.8 catches a game against a league average of 20.5.Sealed Pick #963 @ Sep 20, 12:45 PM ETFingerprint2a9f331eab50ceab7de868c92c037be50a5ed2e467180e34ebaca307519a9dbcTransactiona992323a50168c46126c069fd61ef94d0e4f66533a31e5d875f5429504161ef0Open key1fef75d51285db0cfeaa36265630a8b8636d5282ee9ac77695aa4a5cc47967e2 - Cleveland Browns at Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 1:00 PM ETFinished with 5 receptions61%LOSTLEAN1ULOSTSEALED ODDS1.56Agatha leans Quinshon Judkins Under 2.5 receptions. Judkins has been running about 2.4 catches a game. The counterweight: the Buccaneers allow about 22.4 catches a game, over the league's 20.5.Sealed Pick #964 @ Sep 20, 12:45 PM ETFingerprint5773e3d98a7f85aec43216c6bb0886dae39f7add14417b7eaff9c1628efbd7e6Transactionf9c7644c20371fd732e5dee54ef4ab2b865d8c399870a2ace16be9a7f00db6fdOpen key1fef75d51285db0cfeaa36265630a8b8636d5282ee9ac77695aa4a5cc47967e2
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 3 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 23 |
| TB | 6 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 19 |
ESPN live win probability: TB 0%
Play-by-play
- [4- 2:00] Two-Minute Warning
- [4- 2:33] B.Irving up the middle to CLV 28 for 6 yards (M.Graham; C.Schwesinger).
- [4- 2:37] B.Mayfield pass short left to C.Godwin pushed ob at CLV 34 for 8 yards (M.Harden).
- [4- 3:18] B.Irving right guard to CLV 42 for 5 yards (C.Schwesinger; I.McGuire).
- [4- 3:29] Official Timeout at 03:29.
- [4- 3:44] B.Mayfield pass short right to C.Otton to CLV 47 for 4 yards (Q.Williams). CLV-R.Hickman was injured during the play.
- [4- 3:51] A.Szmyt kicks 64 yards from CLV 35 to TB 1. K.Johnson pushed ob at TB 49 for 48 yards (E.McNeil-Warren).
Leaders
- Baker Mayfield (TB): 21/34, 182 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
- Bucky Irving (TB): 17 CAR, 89 YDS
- Tez Johnson (TB): 1 REC, 49 YDS
- Deshaun Watson (CLE): 24/30, 238 YDS, 2 TD
- Deshaun Watson (CLE): 7 CAR, 22 YDS
- Denzel Boston (CLE): 5 REC, 95 YDS, 1 TD
Game-day injuries
- Jacob Parrish (TB) - Out
- Billy Schrauth (TB) - Out
- Elijah Simmons (TB) - Out
- Ayden Garnes (TB) - Out
- Luke Haggard (TB) - Out
- Tyson Campbell (CLE) - Questionable
- Taylen Green (CLE) - Out
- Toriano Pride Jr. (CLE) - Out
- Daniel Thomas (CLE) - Out
- Justin Jefferson (CLE) - Out
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (TB)
-7.5
Total
41
Moneyline
- CLE
- 4.27
- TB
- 1.24
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (13 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.24, now 1.24
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.24, now 1.24