AGATHANo gut feelings

Colts vs Commanders Prediction

Sunday, Oct 4, 2026, 9:30 AM ET, Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, Week 4, NFL London Games

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

AGATHA'S PICKIndianapolis ColtsIndianapolisColts

FINAL

3013

Washington CommandersWashingtonCommanders
53%WIN CHANCEColts to WinWON#250 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 53%

Agatha's pick: Colts to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Colts 30, Commanders 13

SEALED ODDS
-205Unibet
CLOSING ODDS
-227Unibet, at the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.49uat the sealed price
GRADED
12:42 PM ETreceipt #250

Game Center

Team1234T
IND010101030
WSH607013

Play-by-play

  • [4- 1:57] Two-Minute Warning
  • [4- 2:02] (Shotgun) A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete deep left to C.Yankoff.
  • [4- 2:02] (Shotgun) PENALTY on WAS, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at IND 31 - No Play.
  • [4- 2:46] (Shotgun) K.Allen up the middle to IND 31 for 1 yard (A.Davis-Gaither).
  • [4- 3:25] (Shotgun) A.Kaliakmanis pass short right to D.Brown to IND 32 for 8 yards (C.Ward).
  • [4- 4:07] (Shotgun) A.Kaliakmanis pass short right to S.Diggs to IND 40 for 10 yards (A.Davis-Gaither).
  • [4- 4:13] A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short middle to T.Burks (A.Gardner). ** Injury Update: WAS-B.Coleman has returned to the game.
  • [4- 4:56] (Shotgun) K.Allen left end to 50 for -2 yards (G.Stewart, J.Tuimoloau).
  • [4- 5:42] (Shotgun) A.Kaliakmanis pass short middle to B.Coleman to IND 48 for 13 yards (G.Stewart; B.Boettcher). WAS-B.Coleman was injured during the play.
  • [4- 5:48] R.Sanchez kicks 63 yards from IND 35 to WAS 2. D.Brown to WAS 39 for 37 yards (C.Curry).

Leaders

  • Athan Kaliakmanis (WSH): 15/33, 186 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
  • Marcus Mariota (WSH): 1 CAR, 35 YDS
  • Dyami Brown (WSH): 3 REC, 65 YDS
  • Daniel Jones (IND): 19/34, 143 YDS, 1 INT
  • Jonathan Taylor (IND): 20 CAR, 95 YDS, 2 TD
  • Laquon Treadwell (IND): 5 REC, 42 YDS

Game-day injuries

  • Marcus Mariota (WSH) - Out
  • Tyler Owens (WSH) - Questionable
  • Jaylin Lane (WSH) - Out
  • Jeremy Reaves (WSH) - Questionable
  • Charles Omenihu (WSH) - Questionable
  • Riley Leonard (IND) - Out
  • Darius Slayton (IND) - Out
  • Dalton Tucker (IND) - Out
  • DJ Giddens (IND) - Out
  • George Gumbs Jr. (IND) - Out
IND

Tale of the tape

WSH

Colts vs Commanders recent form

IND 1-4 Colts: last 5 games

  1. W19-17HOU Sep 27 Houston Texans, 19-17
  2. L30-33KC Sep 20 Kansas City Chiefs, 30-33
  3. L23-41BAL Sep 13 Baltimore Ravens, 23-41
  4. L30-38HOU Jan 4 Houston Texans, 30-38
  5. L17-23JAX Dec 28, 2025 Jacksonville Jaguars, 17-23

WSH 2-3 Commanders: last 5 games

  1. W33-31SEA Sep 27 Seattle Seahawks, 33-31
  2. L20-37DAL Sep 20 Dallas Cowboys, 20-37
  3. L22-24PHI Sep 13 Philadelphia Eagles, 22-24
  4. W24-17PHI Jan 4 Philadelphia Eagles, 24-17
  5. L23-30DAL Dec 25, 2025 Dallas Cowboys, 23-30
Points scored, last 5IND 119WSH 122
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterIND 152WSH 139

Colts vs Commanders line movement

MONEYLINE Colts to win at Unibet

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (WSH)

+5

Total

47

Moneyline

IND
-237
WSH
+197

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (27 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (WSH) at FanDuel: opened +190, now +188
  • Spread (WSH) at FanDuel: opened +4.5, now +4.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 46.5, now 46.5

Agatha's pick for Colts vs Commanders

The Colts. Agatha gave Indianapolis a 53% chance to win at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

TV: NFL Net

Best Bets on this game

  1. nflFINAL
    Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders - 9:30 AM ET
    61%
    LOSTLEAN1U
    LOST
    SEALED ODDS+144DraftKings

Up next

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  2. Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 PM ETWashington Commanders vs New York GiantsAgatha's call: New York Giants to win, 63%
  3. Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM ETNew England Patriots vs Detroit LionsAgatha's call: Detroit Lions to win, 56%
  4. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETKansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta FalconsAgatha's call: Kansas City Chiefs to win, 65%
  5. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETHouston Texans vs Cleveland BrownsAgatha's call: Houston Texans to win, 59%