Jaguars vs Bengals Prediction
Sunday, Oct 4, 2026, 1:00 PM ET, Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati, Week 4
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AGATHA'S PICK
AWAYJacksonvilleJaguarsAGATHA'S PICK
HOMECincinnatiBengals
AWAYJacksonvilleJaguarsPREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
2217vs
Predicted --
HOMECincinnatiBengals53%WIN CHANCELIVE READJaguars to WinWON#271 SEALEDSEALED ODDS -Agatha's pick: Jaguars to WinTHE VERDICT
Win chance at the seal 53%
Final score: Jaguars 22, Bengals 17
- SEALED ODDS
- +125Bovada
- CLOSING ODDS
- +120Bovada, at the start
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- WON +1.25uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 4:17 PM ETreceipt #271
Also on this game: Jaguars +2.5, sealed at +100 (BoyleSports), receipt #268: WON +1.00u.
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JAX | 3 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 22 |
| CIN | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 |
Play-by-play
- [4- 1:56] L.Cooke punts 46 yards to CIN 7, Center-R.Matiscik. D.Meyers to CIN 17 for 10 yards (B.Combs).
- [4- 1:56] (Run formation) PENALTY on JAX, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at CIN 48 - No Play.
- [4- 2:00] (Shotgun) T.Lawrence pass short left to P.Washington to CIN 16 for 39 yards (D.Hill).The Replay Official reviewed the runner was inbounds ruling, and the play was REVERSED.(Shotgun) T.Lawrence pass short left to P.Washington ran ob at CIN 48 for 7 yards (D.Turner).
- [4- 2:00] Two-Minute Warning
- [4- 2:23] T.Lawrence sacked at JAX 45 for 0 yards (D.Lawrence).
- [4- 2:23] Timeout #3 by CIN at 02:23.
- [4- 2:28] B.Tuten right guard to JAX 45 for no gain (B.Mafe; D.Lawrence).
- [4- 2:28] Timeout #2 by CIN at 02:28.
- [4- 2:34] (Shotgun) T.Lawrence pass short middle to B.Strange to JAX 45 for 15 yards (R.Yeast).
- [4- 2:34] Timeout #1 by CIN at 02:34.
- [4- 2:42] T.Lawrence pass short left to B.Strange to JAX 30 for 4 yards (B.Carter).
- [4- 3:24] B.Tuten right tackle to JAX 26 for -2 yards (B.Mafe, J.Battle).
Leaders
- Joe Burrow (CIN): 39/54, 428 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
- Chase Brown (CIN): 9 CAR, 10 YDS
- Tee Higgins (CIN): 11 REC, 157 YDS
- Trevor Lawrence (JAX): 18/23, 227 YDS, 1 TD
- Bhayshul Tuten (JAX): 17 CAR, 73 YDS
- Brenton Strange (JAX): 7 REC, 95 YDS
Game-day injuries
- Ja'Marr Chase (CIN) - Out
- Swayze Bozeman (CIN) - Out
- B.J. Hill (CIN) - Out
- Bryan Cook (CIN) - Out
- Colbie Young (CIN) - Out
- Eric Murray (JAX) - Questionable
- Caleb Ransaw (JAX) - Questionable
- Christian Braswell (JAX) - Out
- Montaric Brown (JAX) - Out
- CJ Williams (JAX) - Out
Tale of the tape
CINJaguars vs Bengals recent form
JAX 3-2 Jaguars: last 5 games
- W35-6NE Sep 27 New England Patriots, 35-6
- L13-20DEN Sep 20 Denver Broncos, 13-20
- W34-10CLE Sep 13 Cleveland Browns, 34-10
- L24-27BUF Jan 11 Buffalo Bills, 24-27
- W41-7TEN Jan 4 Tennessee Titans, 41-7
CIN 3-2 Bengals: last 5 games
- L27-30PIT Sep 27 Pittsburgh Steelers, 27-30
- W20-6HOU Sep 20 Houston Texans, 20-6
- W33-27TB Sep 13 Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 33-27
- L18-20CLE Jan 4 Cleveland Browns, 18-20
- W37-14ARI Dec 28, 2025 Arizona Cardinals, 37-14
Points scored, last 5JAX 147CIN 135
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterJAX 70CIN 97
Jaguars vs Bengals head-to-head
Since Dec 4, 2023: Bengals 2, Jaguars 0
- Sep 14, 2025
Bengals 31-27 - Dec 4, 2023
Bengals 34-31
Jaguars vs Bengals line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (CIN)
-2.5
Total
52.5
Moneyline
- JAX
- +122
- CIN
- -144
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (26 snapshots)
- Moneyline (CIN) at FanDuel: opened -144, now -144
- Spread (CIN) at FanDuel: opened -2.5, now -2.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 50.5, now 52.5
Agatha's pick for Jaguars vs Bengals
The Jaguars. Agatha gave Jacksonville a 53% chance to win at Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.
TV: CBS
Agatha's other picks on this game
- Sealed Pick #268 @ Oct 4, 12:45 PM ETFingerprinta87efd31af545825f707bb66f63a5f171be4f4c109e8577650d218c25e5026b1TransactionDSF7Hd7uFdg8UJA8d7ANcC9JrMjBg6S12bPfSC3DmVQcTeL1upB3mwg7uoFtmGARMzbxG6GmxBBGqqx2BMjfhL4Open key40c02e1678fb440c59cd7f613c43b153a89b85174552436e49f4c94f578e7d82