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Jets vs Bears Prediction

Sunday, Oct 4, 2026, 1:00 PM ET, Soldier Field, Chicago, Week 4

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

New York JetsAWAYNew YorkJets

FINAL

1223

AGATHA'S PICKChicago BearsHOMEChicagoBears
77%WIN CHANCEBears to WinWON#256 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 77%

Agatha's pick: Bears to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Bears 23, Jets 12

SEALED ODDS
-180BetUS
CLOSING ODDS
Same as sealedat the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.56uat the sealed price
GRADED
3:58 PM ETreceipt #256

Also on this game: Bears -3.5, sealed at -101 (Pinnacle), receipt #265: WON +0.99u.

Game Center

Team1234T
NYJ033612
CHI767323

Play-by-play

  • [4- 1:13] T.Bagent kneels to NYJ 14 for -1 yards.
  • [4- 1:53] T.Bagent kneels to NYJ 13 for -1 yards.
  • [4- 2:00] T.Bagent pass short right to R.Johnson pushed ob at NYJ 12 for 7 yards (J.Ossai).
  • [4- 2:00] Two-Minute Warning
  • [4- 2:38] (Shotgun) R.Johnson right guard to NYJ 19 for 3 yards (D.Belton).
  • [4- 3:21] R.Johnson left guard to NYJ 22 for 2 yards (J.Briggs).
  • [4- 3:22] (Run formation) PENALTY on NYJ-T.Sweat, Neutral Zone Infraction, 6 yards, enforced at NYJ 30 - No Play.
  • [4- 4:08] (Shotgun) K.Monangai left end to NYJ 30 for 4 yards (D.Ponds).
  • [4- 4:50] K.Monangai right guard to NYJ 34 for 1 yard (W.McDonald).
  • [4- 5:35] (Shotgun) K.Monangai right end to NYJ 35 for 4 yards (D.Jackson).
  • [4- 5:35] Timeout #3 by NYJ at 05:35.
  • [4- 5:40] (Shotgun) T.Bagent pass short middle to C.Loveland to NYJ 39 for 18 yards (M.Fitzpatrick).

Leaders

  • Tyson Bagent (CHI): 25/34, 268 YDS, 1 INT
  • Kyle Monangai (CHI): 30 CAR, 146 YDS, 2 TD
  • Rome Odunze (CHI): 6 REC, 94 YDS
  • Geno Smith (NYJ): 8/15, 119 YDS, 1 TD
  • Braelon Allen (NYJ): 14 CAR, 59 YDS
  • Isaiah Williams (NYJ): 2 REC, 73 YDS, 1 TD

Game-day injuries

  • Anthony Johnson Jr. (CHI) - Out
  • Cam Lewis (CHI) - Out
  • Caleb Williams (CHI) - Out
  • Ozzy Trapilo (CHI) - Out
  • Jamree Kromah (CHI) - Out
  • Jarvis Brownlee Jr. (NYJ) - Questionable
  • Braiden McGregor (NYJ) - Questionable
  • Kingsley Enagbare (NYJ) - Out
  • Nahshon Wright (NYJ) - Out
  • Mason Taylor (NYJ) - Out
NYJ

Tale of the tape

CHI

Jets vs Bears recent form

NYJ 1-4 Jets: last 5 games

  1. L24-31DET Sep 27 Detroit Lions, 24-31
  2. L17-20GB Sep 20 Green Bay Packers, 17-20
  3. W23-10TEN Sep 13 Tennessee Titans, 23-10
  4. L8-35BUF Jan 4 Buffalo Bills, 8-35
  5. L10-42NE Dec 28, 2025 New England Patriots, 10-42

CHI 3-2 Bears: last 5 games

  1. W27-7PHI Sep 28 Philadelphia Eagles, 27-7
  2. L3-9MIN Sep 20 Minnesota Vikings, 3-9
  3. W59-37CAR Sep 13 Carolina Panthers, 59-37
  4. L17-20LAR Jan 18 Los Angeles Rams, 17-20
  5. W31-27GB Jan 10 Green Bay Packers, 31-27
Points scored, last 5NYJ 82CHI 137
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterNYJ 138CHI 100

Jets vs Bears line movement

MONEYLINE Bears to win at BetUS

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (CHI)

-3.5

Total

43.5

Moneyline

NYJ
+155
CHI
-180

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (15 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (CHI) at FanDuel: opened -190, now -180
  • Spread (CHI) at FanDuel: opened -3.5, now -3.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 43.5, now 43.5

Agatha's pick for Jets vs Bears

The Bears. Agatha gave Chicago a 77% chance to win at Soldier Field, Chicago. It was one of Agatha's Best NFL Bets for Oct 4.

TV: FOX

Agatha's other picks on this game

  1. nflFINAL
    Cole Kmet Under 1.5 receptions
    New York Jets at Chicago Bears - 1:00 PM ET
    63%
    LOSTLEAN1U
    LOST
    SEALED ODDS-174FanDuel
  2. nflFINAL
    D'Andre Swift Under 2.5 receptions
    New York Jets at Chicago Bears - 1:00 PM ET
    61%
    WONLEAN1U
    WON
    SEALED ODDS-179DraftKings
  1. nflFINAL
    Chicago Bears -3.5
    New York Jets at Chicago Bears - 1:00 PM ET
    50%
    WONPRED1U
    WON
    SEALED ODDS-101Pinnacle

Up next

  1. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETBuffalo Bills vs New York JetsAgatha's call: Buffalo Bills to win, 84%
  2. Sun, Nov 22, 1:00 PM ETNew Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears
  3. Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 PM ETWashington Commanders vs New York GiantsAgatha's call: New York Giants to win, 63%
  4. Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM ETNew England Patriots vs Detroit LionsAgatha's call: Detroit Lions to win, 56%
  5. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETKansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta FalconsAgatha's call: Kansas City Chiefs to win, 65%