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Packers vs Buccaneers Prediction

Sunday, Oct 4, 2026, 1:00 PM ET, Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Week 4

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

AGATHA'S PICKGreen Bay PackersAWAYGreen BayPackers

FINAL

1714

Tampa Bay BuccaneersHOMETampa BayBuccaneers
50%WIN CHANCEPackers to WinWON#273 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 50%

Agatha's pick: Packers to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Packers 17, Buccaneers 14

SEALED ODDS
-146FanDuel
CLOSING ODDS
-148FanDuel, at the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.68uat the sealed price
GRADED
3:59 PM ETreceipt #273

Game Center

Team1234T
GB0107017
TB070714

Play-by-play

  • [4- 1:34] (Shotgun) J.Daniels pass short middle intended for T.Hurst INTERCEPTED by K.Nixon [E.Williams] at GB 43. K.Nixon to GB 43 for no gain (T.Hurst).The Replay Official reviewed the interception ruling, and the play was REVERSED.(Shotgun) J.Daniels pass incomplete short middle to T.Hurst (K.Nixon) [E.Williams].
  • [4- 1:34] Timeout #1 by GB at 01:34.
  • [4- 1:34] Timeout #2 by TB at 01:34.
  • [4- 1:42] (Shotgun) J.Daniels pass short right to E.Egbuka to GB 47 for 5 yards (B.Cox; J.Bullard).
  • [4- 1:47] (1:47) (Shotgun) J.Daniels sacked at TB 48 for -6 yards (E.Williams).Penalty on TB-T.Johnson, Illegal Motion, declined.
  • [4- 1:54] (Shotgun) J.Daniels pass incomplete short left.
  • [4- 2:00] J.Daniels pass short right to C.Otton pushed ob at GB 46 for 14 yards (E.Williams).
  • [4- 2:00] Two-Minute Warning
  • [4- 2:30] (Shotgun) J.Daniels pass short middle to C.Otton to TB 40 for 4 yards (E.Williams).
  • [4- 2:30] Timeout #1 by TB at 02:30.
  • [4- 2:36] (Shotgun) J.Daniels pass short left to C.Godwin pushed ob at TB 36 for 6 yards (C.Valentine).
  • [4- 3:17] B.Irving right tackle to TB 30 for 1 yard (L.Van Ness).

Leaders

  • Jalon Daniels (TB): 19/27, 148 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
  • Bucky Irving (TB): 16 CAR, 61 YDS
  • Cade Otton (TB): 4 REC, 37 YDS
  • Jordan Love (GB): 22/30, 197 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
  • Kaleb Johnson (GB): 8 CAR, 42 YDS
  • Christian Watson (GB): 3 REC, 47 YDS

Game-day injuries

  • Antoine Winfield Jr. (TB) - Questionable
  • SirVocea Dennis (TB) - Questionable
  • Billy Schrauth (TB) - Out
  • Ko Kieft (TB) - Out
  • Baker Mayfield (TB) - Out
  • Edgerrin Cooper (GB) - Questionable
  • Chris Brooks (GB) - Questionable
  • Kevin Zeitler (GB) - Out
  • Jacob Monk (GB) - Out
  • Aaron Banks (GB) - Out
GB

Tale of the tape

TB

Packers vs Buccaneers recent form

GB 1-4 Packers: last 5 games

  1. L14-35ATL Sep 24 Atlanta Falcons, 14-35
  2. W20-17NYJ Sep 20 New York Jets, 20-17
  3. L22-39MIN Sep 13 Minnesota Vikings, 22-39
  4. L27-31CHI Jan 10 Chicago Bears, 27-31
  5. L3-16MIN Jan 4 Minnesota Vikings, 3-16

TB 1-4 Buccaneers: last 5 games

  1. L16-23MIN Sep 27 Minnesota Vikings, 16-23
  2. L19-23CLE Sep 20 Cleveland Browns, 19-23
  3. L27-33CIN Sep 13 Cincinnati Bengals, 27-33
  4. W16-14CAR Jan 3 Carolina Panthers, 16-14
  5. L17-20MIA Dec 28, 2025 Miami Dolphins, 17-20
Points scored, last 5GB 86TB 95
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterGB 138TB 113

Packers vs Buccaneers head-to-head

Since Dec 17, 2023: Buccaneers 1, Packers 0

  1. Dec 17, 2023Buccaneers 34-20

Packers vs Buccaneers line movement

MONEYLINE Packers to win at FanDuel

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (TB)

+2.5

Total

38.5

Moneyline

GB
-148
TB
+126

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (21 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (TB) at FanDuel: opened -104, now +126
  • Spread (TB) at FanDuel: opened +1.5, now +2.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 45.5, now 38.5

Agatha's pick for Packers vs Buccaneers

The Packers. Agatha gave Green Bay a 50% chance to win at Raymond James Stadium, Tampa. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

TV: FOX

Best Bets on this game

  1. nflFINAL
    Tez Johnson Under 1.5 receptions
    Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 1:00 PM ET
    65%
    LOSTLEAN1U
    LOST
    SEALED ODDS-235FanDuel
  2. nflFINAL
    Jonnu Smith Under 1.5 receptions
    Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 1:00 PM ET
    63%
    WONLEAN1U
    WON
    SEALED ODDS-208DraftKings

Up next

  1. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETMinnesota Vikings vs Green Bay PackersAgatha's call: Green Bay Packers to win, 61%
  2. Sun, Nov 22, 1:00 PM ETTampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions
  3. Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 PM ETWashington Commanders vs New York GiantsAgatha's call: New York Giants to win, 63%
  4. Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM ETNew England Patriots vs Detroit LionsAgatha's call: Detroit Lions to win, 56%
  5. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETKansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta FalconsAgatha's call: Kansas City Chiefs to win, 65%