New Orleans Saints vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction
Agatha's pick
New Orleans Saints at Baltimore Ravens - 1:00 PM ETFinished with 3 receptions64%LOSTLEAN1ULOSTSEALED ODDS1.50
Agatha's NFL model makes it about 1.2 catches for Derrick Henry against a line of 1.5: the under is the call. His recent rate sits near 1.1 receptions a game. The matchup helps the under: the Saints hold teams to about 19.3 catches a game, under the league's 20.5.Sealed Pick #965 @ Sep 20, 12:48 PM ETFingerprinta88a9194a1c9cfe0be4712c9a8c2053330d4e0d8d73092e3086aaaf810f5b360Transactionf7d0a3cf6b3a2c9f3e4fef02adbc6fa02b919ec50aa5f7244c24a601ec05c0eaOpen key1fef75d51285db0cfeaa36265630a8b8636d5282ee9ac77695aa4a5cc47967e2
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 0 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 24 |
| BAL | 7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 17 |
ESPN live win probability: BAL 0%
Play-by-play
- [4- 1:40] Timeout #2 by BLT at 01:40.
- [4- 1:50] (1:50) (Shotgun) T.Shough pass short middle to J.Johnson to BLT 1 for 6 yards (M.Starks; R.Smith).The Replay Official reviewed the short of the goal line ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.
- [4- 1:54] (Shotgun) T.Shough pass incomplete short left to D.Vele.
- [4- 1:54] (Shotgun) PENALTY on NO-N.Fant, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BLT 2 - No Play.
- [4- 1:54] Two-Minute Warning
- [4- 2:03] (Shotgun) T.Shough pass short right to J.Johnson to BLT 5 for 25 yards (J.Hawkins).PENALTY on BLT-T.Hendrickson, Roughing the Passer, 3 yards, enforced at BLT 5.
- [4- 2:48] (Shotgun) T.Shough pass short left to D.Vele to BLT 30 for 6 yards (M.Humphrey).
- [4- 3:29] A.Kamara right tackle to BLT 36 for -4 yards (K.Hamilton).
- [4- 4:13] (Shotgun) T.Shough pass short left to C.Olave to BLT 32 for 3 yards (M.Humphrey).
- [4- 4:50] A.Kamara right tackle to BLT 35 for 1 yard (J.Jenkins).
- [4- 4:55] (Shotgun) T.Shough pass short right to K.Austin ran ob at BLT 36 for 7 yards.
- [4- 5:41] (No Huddle) T.Shough up the middle to BLT 43 for 1 yard (K.Hamilton).
Leaders
- Lamar Jackson (BAL): 21/31, 235 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
- Derrick Henry (BAL): 16 CAR, 68 YDS, 1 TD
- Rashod Bateman (BAL): 7 REC, 88 YDS, 1 TD
- Tyler Shough (NO): 27/34, 252 YDS, 1 TD
- Travis Etienne Jr. (NO): 8 CAR, 25 YDS
- Chris Olave (NO): 8 REC, 86 YDS, 1 TD
Game-day injuries
- Ronnie Stanley (BAL) - Questionable
- Joe Fagnano (BAL) - Out
- Andrew Vorhees (BAL) - Out
- Nnamdi Madubuike (BAL) - Out
- Zay Flowers (BAL) - Out
- Kelvin Banks Jr. (NO) - Questionable
- Martin Emerson Jr. (NO) - Questionable
- Isaiah Stalbird (NO) - Out
- Christen Miller (NO) - Out
- Zach Wilson (NO) - Out
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (BAL)
-7.5
Total
45.5
Moneyline
- NO
- 4.10
- BAL
- 1.24
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (27 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.22, now 1.25
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.23, now 1.24