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Steelers vs Browns Prediction

Thursday, Oct 1, 2026, 8:15 PM ET, Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland, Week 4

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

AGATHA'S PICKPittsburgh SteelersAWAYPittsburghSteelers

FINAL

2427

Cleveland BrownsHOMEClevelandBrowns
53%WIN CHANCESteelers to WinLOST#27 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 53%

Agatha's pick: Steelers to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Browns 27, Steelers 24

SEALED ODDS
-148DraftKings
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
GRADED
11:45 PM ETreceipt #27

Also on this game: Browns +3, sealed at -110 (BetMGM), receipt #28: WON +0.91u.

Game Center

Team1234T
PIT7301424
CLE0210627

Play-by-play

  • [4- 1:42] A.Rodgers pass short right to P.Freiermuth for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. A.Rodgers rushes up the middle. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
  • [4- 1:51] (Shotgun) A.Rodgers pass incomplete short middle to D.Washington (E.McNeil-Warren).PENALTY on CLV-E.McNeil-Warren, Defensive Pass Interference, 8 yards, enforced at CLV 11 - No Play.
  • [4- 1:55] (Shotgun) A.Rodgers pass incomplete short middle to D.Washington.
  • [4- 2:00] (Shotgun) A.Rodgers pass incomplete short right to D.Washington (R.Hickman). ** Injury Update: CLV-T.Campbell has returned to the game.
  • [4- 2:00] Two-Minute Warning
  • [4- 2:09] (Shotgun) A.Rodgers pass short middle to G.Bernard to CLV 11 for 5 yards (M.Blackmon).
  • [4- 2:09] (Shotgun) PENALTY on PIT, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at CLV 11 - No Play.
  • [4- 2:14] (No Huddle, Shotgun) A.Rodgers pass deep left to D.Metcalf pushed ob at CLV 11 for 28 yards (T.Campbell). CLV-T.Campbell was injured during the play.
  • [4- 2:39] (Shotgun) A.Rodgers pass short right to G.Bernard to CLV 39 for 6 yards (D.Ward).
  • [4- 2:46] (Shotgun) A.Rodgers pass deep left to D.Metcalf pushed ob at CLV 45 for 22 yards (T.Campbell).
  • [4- 3:32] (Shotgun) A.Rodgers pass short right to R.Wilson to PIT 33 for 13 yards (M.Harden). PIT-R.Wilson was injured during the play.

Leaders

  • Deshaun Watson (CLE): 24/33, 268 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
  • Quinshon Judkins (CLE): 17 CAR, 53 YDS, 1 TD
  • Denzel Boston (CLE): 4 REC, 89 YDS
  • Aaron Rodgers (PIT): 22/40, 299 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
  • Jaylen Warren (PIT): 17 CAR, 93 YDS
  • DK Metcalf (PIT): 5 REC, 115 YDS

Game-day injuries

  • Mason Graham (CLE) - Questionable
  • Taylen Green (CLE) - Out
  • Justin Jefferson (CLE) - Out
  • Teven Jenkins (CLE) - Out
  • Elgton Jenkins (CLE) - Out
  • Derrick Harmon (PIT) - Questionable
  • Jamel Dean (PIT) - Questionable
  • Drew Allar (PIT) - Out
  • Will Howard (PIT) - Out
  • Gabriel Rubio (PIT) - Out
PIT

Tale of the tape

CLE

Steelers vs Browns recent form

PIT 3-2 Steelers: last 5 games

  1. W30-27CIN Sep 27 Cincinnati Bengals, 30-27
  2. L3-20NE Sep 20 New England Patriots, 3-20
  3. W20-13ATL Sep 13 Atlanta Falcons, 20-13
  4. L6-30HOU Jan 12 Houston Texans, 6-30
  5. W26-24BAL Jan 4 Baltimore Ravens, 26-24

CLE 4-1 Browns: last 5 games

  1. W21-18CAR Sep 27 Carolina Panthers, 21-18
  2. W23-19TB Sep 20 Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 23-19
  3. L10-34JAX Sep 13 Jacksonville Jaguars, 10-34
  4. W20-18CIN Jan 4 Cincinnati Bengals, 20-18
  5. W13-6PIT Dec 28, 2025 Pittsburgh Steelers, 13-6
Points scored, last 5PIT 85CLE 87
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterPIT 114CLE 95

Steelers vs Browns head-to-head

Since Nov 19, 2023: Browns 3, Steelers 2

  1. Dec 28, 2025Browns 13-6
  2. Oct 12, 2025Steelers 23-9
  3. Dec 8, 2024Steelers 27-14
  4. Nov 21, 2024Browns 24-19
  5. Nov 19, 2023Browns 13-10

Steelers vs Browns line movement

MONEYLINE Steelers to win at DraftKings

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (CLE)

+3

Total

37.5

Moneyline

PIT
-154
CLE
+130

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (20 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (CLE) at FanDuel: opened +114, now +130
  • Spread (CLE) at FanDuel: opened +2.5, now +3
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 37.5, now 37.5

Agatha's pick for Steelers vs Browns

The Steelers. Agatha gave Pittsburgh a 53% chance to win at Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

TV: Prime Video

Agatha's other picks on this game

  1. nflFINAL
    Quinshon Judkins Under 2.5 receptions
    Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns - 8:15 PM ET
    61%
    LOSTLEAN1U
    LOST
    SEALED ODDS-178DraftKings
  2. nflFINAL
    Darnell Washington Over 1.5 receptions
    Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns - 8:15 PM ET
    61%
    WONLEAN1U
    WON
    SEALED ODDS-175Hard Rock
  3. nflFINAL
    Roman Wilson Under 2.5 receptions
    Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns - 8:15 PM ET
    61%
    LOSTLEAN1U
    LOST
    SEALED ODDS-173DraftKings
  4. nflFINAL
    Raheim Sanders Over 1.5 receptions
    Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns - 8:15 PM ET
    60%
    WONLEAN1U
    WON
    SEALED ODDS-172FanDuel
  5. nflFINAL
    Pat Freiermuth Under 3.5 receptions
    Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns - 8:15 PM ET
    60%
    WONLEAN1U
    WON
    SEALED ODDS-165BetMGM
  1. nflFINAL
    Cleveland Browns +3
    Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns - 8:15 PM ET
    50%
    WONPRED1U
    WON
    SEALED ODDS-110BetMGM

Up next

  1. Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 PM ETPittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati BengalsAgatha's call: Cincinnati Bengals to win, 57%
  2. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETHouston Texans vs Cleveland BrownsAgatha's call: Houston Texans to win, 61%
  3. Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM ETNew England Patriots vs Detroit LionsAgatha's call: Detroit Lions to win, 56%
  4. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETKansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta FalconsAgatha's call: Kansas City Chiefs to win, 65%
  5. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETMinnesota Vikings vs Green Bay PackersAgatha's call: Green Bay Packers to win, 60%