Penguins vs Capitals Prediction
Wednesday, Oct 7, 2026, 7:30 PM ET, Capital One Arena, Washington
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AGATHA'S PICK
AWAYPittsburghPenguinsAGATHA'S PICK
HOMEWashingtonCapitals
AWAYPittsburghPenguinsPREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
0350vs
Predicted --
HOMEWashingtonCapitals57%WIN CHANCELIVE READCapitals to WinWON#489 SEALEDSEALED ODDS -Agatha's pick: Capitals to WinTHE VERDICT
Win chance at the seal 57%
Final score: Capitals 5, Penguins 3
- SEALED ODDS
- -145Bovada
- CLOSING ODDS
- -147Bovada, at the start
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- WON +0.69uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 10:13 PM ETreceipt #489
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| WSH | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
Play-by-play
- [3- 20:00] Game End
- [3- 20:00] End of 3rd Period
- [3- 20:00] Jakob Chychrun Slashing
- [3- 19:49] Takeaway by Ben Kindel
- [3- 19:12] Kris Letang shot blocked by Alex Tuch
- [3- 19:02] Giveaway by Erik Karlsson
- [3- 19:00] Kris Letang shot blocked by Alex Tuch
- [3- 18:29] Giveaway by Erik Karlsson
- [3- 18:07] Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Ville Koivunen
- [3- 18:04] Tommy Novak Snap Shot saved by Logan Thompson
- [3- 17:02] Evgeni Malkin Tip-In Wide Right
- [3- 16:34] Sidney Crosby faceoff won against Boone Jenner
Leaders
- Tom Wilson (WSH): 1
- Tom Wilson (WSH): 2
- Tom Wilson (WSH): 3
- Tommy Novak (PIT): 1
- Kaedan Korczak (PIT): 1
- Bryan Rust (PIT): 1
Game-day injuries
- Matt Roy (WSH) - Out
- Patrick Thomas (WSH) - Injured Reserve
- Rasmus Sandin (WSH) - Injured Reserve
- Andrei Kuzmenko (PIT) - Injured Reserve
- Justin Brazeau (PIT) - Injured Reserve
- Ryan Graves (PIT) - Injured Reserve
Tale of the tape
WSHPenguins vs Capitals recent form
PIT 3-2 Penguins: last 5 games
- L2-3WPG Oct 5 Winnipeg Jets, 2-3
- W6-5MTL Oct 3 Montreal Canadiens, 6-5
- W7-0PHI Sep 30 Philadelphia Flyers, 7-0
- L0-1PHI Apr 29 Philadelphia Flyers, 0-1
- W3-2PHI Apr 27 Philadelphia Flyers, 3-2
WSH 4-1 Capitals: last 5 games
- L1-3TBL Oct 3 Tampa Bay Lightning, 1-3
- W5-2CAR Oct 2 Carolina Hurricanes, 5-2
- W2-1CBJ Apr 14 Columbus Blue Jackets, 2-1
- W3-0PIT Apr 12 Pittsburgh Penguins, 3-0
- W6-3PIT Apr 11 Pittsburgh Penguins, 6-3
Goals scored, last 5PIT 18WSH 17
Goals allowed, last 5fewer is betterPIT 11WSH 9
Penguins vs Capitals head-to-head
Since Apr 4, 2024: Penguins 4, Capitals 4
- Apr 12, 2026
Capitals 3-0 - Apr 11, 2026
Capitals 6-3 - Nov 6, 2025
Penguins 5-3 - Apr 17, 2025
Penguins 5-2 - Feb 22, 2025
Capitals 8-3 - Jan 18, 2025
Capitals 4-1 - Nov 8, 2024
Penguins 4-2 - Apr 4, 2024
Penguins 4-1
Penguins vs Capitals line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (WSH)
-1.5
Total
6.5
Moneyline
- PIT
- +130
- WSH
- -147
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (16 snapshots)
- Moneyline (WSH) at FanDuel: opened -178, now -152
- Spread (WSH) at FanDuel: opened -1.5, now -1.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 6.5, now 6.5
Agatha's pick for Penguins vs Capitals
The Capitals. Agatha gave Washington a 57% chance to win at Capital One Arena, Washington. It was one of Agatha's Best NHL Bets for Oct 7.
TV: TNT