AGATHANo gut feelings

Stars vs Penguins Prediction

Saturday, Oct 10, 2026, 7:00 PM ET, PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

AGATHA'S PICKDallas StarsAWAYDallasStars

FINAL

0120

Pittsburgh PenguinsHOMEPittsburghPenguins
54%WIN CHANCEStars to WinLOST#725 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 54%

Agatha's pick: Stars to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Penguins 2, Stars 1

SEALED ODDS
-169Cloudbet
CLOSING ODDS
-172Cloudbet, at the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
GRADED
9:58 PM ETreceipt #725

Game Center

Team12345T
DAL001001
PIT001012

Play-by-play

  • [5- 0:00] Game End
  • [5- 0:00] End of SO
  • [5- 0:00] End of Shootout
  • [5- 0:00] Mikko Rantanen Wrist Shot saved by Arturs Silovs
  • [5- 0:00] Rickard Rakell Goal Wrist Shot
  • [5- 0:00] Wyatt Johnston Goal Wrist Shot
  • [5- 0:00] Egor Chinakhov Wrist Shot saved by Jake Oettinger
  • [5- 0:00] Tyler Seguin Goal Wrist Shot
  • [5- 0:00] Sidney Crosby Goal Wrist Shot
  • [5- 0:00] Jason Robertson Wrist Shot Wide Right
  • [5- 0:00] Ben Kindel Goal Wrist Shot
  • [5- 0:00] Start of Shootout

Leaders

  • Connor Dewar (PIT): 1
  • Blake Lizotte (PIT): 1
  • Connor Dewar (PIT): 1
  • Tyler Seguin (DAL): 1
  • Miro Heiskanen (DAL): 1
  • Tyler Seguin (DAL): 1

Game-day injuries

  • Trevor van Riemsdyk (PIT) - Out
  • Andrei Kuzmenko (PIT) - Injured Reserve
  • Justin Brazeau (PIT) - Injured Reserve
  • Ryan Graves (PIT) - Injured Reserve
  • Radek Faksa (DAL) - Day-To-Day
  • Joel Kiviranta (DAL) - Out
  • Matt Duchene (DAL) - Injured Reserve
  • Harrison Scott (DAL) - Injured Reserve
  • Luke Krys (DAL) - Injured Reserve
DAL

Tale of the tape

PIT

Stars vs Penguins recent form

Goals scored, last 5DAL 12PIT 20
Goals allowed, last 5fewer is betterDAL 11PIT 16

Stars vs Penguins head-to-head

Since Oct 24, 2023: Stars 5, Penguins 1

  1. Mar 28, 2026Stars 6-3
  2. Dec 7, 2025Stars 3-2
  3. Apr 5, 2025Penguins 5-3
  4. Nov 11, 2024Stars 7-1
  5. Mar 22, 2024Stars 4-2
  6. Oct 24, 2023Stars 4-1

Stars vs Penguins line movement

MONEYLINE Stars to win at Pinnacle

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (PIT)

+1.5

Total

6.5

Moneyline

DAL
-177
PIT
+153

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (16 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (PIT) at FanDuel: opened +122, now +146
  • Spread (PIT) at FanDuel: opened +1.5, now +1.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 6.5, now 6.5

Agatha's pick for Stars vs Penguins

The Stars. Agatha gave Dallas a 54% chance to win at PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

TV: ESPN+

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