AGATHANo gut feelings

MLS Track Record

since October 1st, 2026

Every MLS pick Agatha made since the record began, Best Bets and Predictions alike: each sealed on the Solana mainnet before its match and graded after it. Open any ticket to check its seal.

Since October 1st, 2026
Last pick graded October 17
Record
18-16-052.9% won
Net units
+0.23u
ROI
0.7%
Picks graded
34

By tier

  • Best Betssmall sample7 picks
    W-L
    6-1
    Win %
    85.7%
    Net
    +2.62u
    ROI
    37.4%
  • Predictions27 picks
    W-L
    12-15
    Win %
    44.4%
    Net
    -2.39u
    ROI
    -8.9%

Running units, October 1 to October 17: +0.23u

Runs and days

  • Longest winning run6 straight winsfrom ticket #679 to #736
  • Longest losing run4 straight lossesfrom ticket #1026 to #1029
  • Best dayOctober 10, +1.62u14 picks, 8-6
  • Worst dayOctober 14, -2.15u15 picks, 7-8
Last 10 picks4-6, -1.67unewest first

By bet type

All time

Every bet type Agatha has graded in MLS, winners and losers.

  • Moneyline7 Best Bets 6-1 +2.62u - 27 Predictions 12-15 -2.39u - average price +104
    W-L
    18-16
    Win %
    52.9%
    Net
    +0.23u
    ROI
    0.7%

How the picks split

All time

Each row is its own exact total; a row under 20 picks is marked a small sample.

Favourites and underdogs

  • Favouritessmall sample
    W-L
    10-4
    Win %
    71.4%
    Net
    +1.98u
    ROI
    14.1%
  • Underdogs
    W-L
    8-12
    Win %
    40.0%
    Net
    -1.75u
    ROI
    -8.8%

By confidence

  • Under 55%
    W-L
    10-15
    Win %
    40.0%
    Net
    -2.98u
    ROI
    -11.9%
  • 55-59%small sample
    W-L
    2-1
    Win %
    66.7%
    Net
    +0.53u
    ROI
    17.7%
  • 60-64%small sample
    W-L
    3-0
    Win %
    100.0%
    Net
    +1.39u
    ROI
    46.2%
  • 65-69%small sample
    W-L
    1-0
    Win %
    100.0%
    Net
    +0.61u
    ROI
    60.6%
  • 70-79%small sample
    W-L
    2-0
    Win %
    100.0%
    Net
    +0.69u
    ROI
    34.5%

Home and away

  • Home
    W-L
    17-14
    Win %
    54.8%
    Net
    +1.34u
    ROI
    4.3%
  • Awaysmall sample
    W-L
    1-2
    Win %
    33.3%
    Net
    -1.12u
    ROI
    -37.2%

Closing line: of 34 picks with a closing price, 21 beat it, 4 matched it and 9 were worse; the sealed price was 2.78% better than the close on average.

By week and by month

By week

  • Week of October 11small sample18 picks
    W-L
    9-9
    Win %
    50.0%
    Net
    -1.00u
    ROI
    -5.5%
  • Week of October 4small sample15 picks
    W-L
    8-7
    Win %
    53.3%
    Net
    +0.62u
    ROI
    4.1%
  • Week of September 27small sample1 pick
    W-L
    1-0
    Win %
    100.0%
    Net
    +0.61u
    ROI
    60.6%

By month

  • October 202634 picks
    W-L
    18-16
    Win %
    52.9%
    Net
    +0.23u
    ROI
    0.7%

By day

October 202634 picks - 18-16 - +0.23u
SMTWTFS1+0.6u1-023456-1.0u0-178910+1.6u8-611+0.5u1-0121314-2.1u7-8151617+0.6u1-11819202122232425262728293031

How the record is kept

Every pick grades against the line and price sealed 15 minutes before the start (for a tennis match that follows another on its court, 15 minutes before that court's first match; for an esports match that follows another on its stream, 15 minutes before that stream's first match, but never more than 6 hours before its own start). Pushes and voids never count toward wins or losses. Units use that sealed price, and every pick is one unit. Full rules on the methodology page, every settlement rule sport by sport in how we grade; the sealing itself is explained on the how sealing works page.

MLS tickets

Newest first. Each ticket opens its sealed receipt.

  1. Minnesota United FC to win#1213October 17+162WON+1.62u
  2. Best BetPhiladelphia Union to win#1195October 17-222LOST-1.00u
  3. LA Galaxy to win#1032October 14+118WON+1.18u
  4. San Diego FC to win#1031October 14+112LOST-1.00u
  5. Best BetLAFC to win#1030October 14-213WON+0.47u
  6. Real Salt Lake to win#1029October 14-110LOST-1.00u
  7. Colorado Rapids to win#1028October 14-110LOST-1.00u
  8. St. Louis CITY SC to win#1027October 14+132LOST-1.00u
  9. Chicago Fire FC to win#1026October 14+160LOST-1.00u
  10. FC Dallas to win#1025October 14+106WON+1.06u
  11. Nashville SC to win#1024October 14-480WON+0.21u
  12. D.C. United to win#1019October 14+142WON+1.42u
  13. Columbus Crew to win#1018October 14-102WON+0.98u
  14. CF Montreal to win#1017October 14+156LOST-1.00u
  15. Toronto FC to win#1016October 14+139LOST-1.00u
  16. FC Cincinnati to win#1015October 14+114LOST-1.00u
  17. Best BetInter Miami CF to win#1012October 14-188WON+0.53u
  18. Best BetSt. Louis CITY SC to win#824October 11-188WON+0.53u
  19. LAFC to win#758October 10+149LOST-1.00u
  20. Colorado Rapids to win#754October 10-105LOST-1.00u
  21. Portland Timbers to win#753October 10+126LOST-1.00u
  22. Nashville SC to win#752October 10-113WON+0.88u
  23. Minnesota United FC to win#751October 10+113LOST-1.00u
  24. Red Bull New York to win#739October 10+162WON+1.62u
  25. Atlanta United FC to win#738October 10+141LOST-1.00u
  26. New England Revolution to win#737October 10+115LOST-1.00u
  27. Orlando City SC to win#736October 10+119WON+1.19u
  28. Charlotte FC to win#735October 10+116WON+1.16u
  29. Philadelphia Union to win#734October 10-260WON+0.38u
  30. Best BetInter Miami CF to win#727October 10-208WON+0.48u
  31. Chicago Fire FC to win#683October 10-111WON+0.90u
  32. Best BetToronto FC to win#679October 10+100WON+1.00u
  33. Vancouver Whitecaps to win#427October 6+122LOST-1.00u
  34. Best BetSeattle Sounders FC to win#32October 1-165WON+0.61u