AGATHANo gut feelings

MLS Track Record: Predictions

since October 1st, 2026

Every numbered pick is sealed on the Solana mainnet before its start and graded after it. Open any ticket to check its seal.

Since October 1st, 2026
Last pick graded October 15
Record
11-15-042.3% won
Net units
-4.01u
ROI
-15.4%
Picks graded
26

Running units, October 1 to October 16: -4.01u

Runs and days

  • Longest winning run4 straight winsfrom ticket #1018 to #1025
  • Longest losing run6 straight lossesfrom ticket #753 to #1017
  • Best dayOctober 10, +0.14u12 picks, 6-6
  • Worst dayOctober 14, -3.15u13 picks, 5-8
Last 10 picks5-5, -0.15unewest first

By bet type

All time

Every bet type Agatha has graded in MLS, winners and losers.

  • Moneylineaverage price +114
    W-L
    11-15
    Win %
    42.3%
    Net
    -4.01u
    ROI
    -15.4%

How the picks split

All time

Each row is its own exact total; a row under 20 picks is marked a small sample.

Favourites and underdogs

  • Favouritessmall sample
    W-L
    5-3
    Win %
    62.5%
    Net
    +0.36u
    ROI
    4.5%
  • Underdogssmall sample
    W-L
    6-12
    Win %
    33.3%
    Net
    -4.37u
    ROI
    -24.3%

By confidence

  • Under 55%
    W-L
    9-15
    Win %
    37.5%
    Net
    -4.60u
    ROI
    -19.2%
  • 60-64%small sample
    W-L
    1-0
    Win %
    100.0%
    Net
    +0.38u
    ROI
    38.5%
  • 70-79%small sample
    W-L
    1-0
    Win %
    100.0%
    Net
    +0.21u
    ROI
    20.8%

Home and away

  • Home
    W-L
    10-13
    Win %
    43.5%
    Net
    -2.90u
    ROI
    -12.6%
  • Awaysmall sample
    W-L
    1-2
    Win %
    33.3%
    Net
    -1.12u
    ROI
    -37.2%

Closing line: of 26 picks with a closing price, 16 beat it, 2 matched it and 8 were worse; the sealed price was 2.43% better than the close on average.

By week and by month

By week

  • Week of October 11small sample13 picks
    W-L
    5-8
    Win %
    38.5%
    Net
    -3.15u
    ROI
    -24.2%
  • Week of October 4small sample13 picks
    W-L
    6-7
    Win %
    46.2%
    Net
    -0.86u
    ROI
    -6.6%

By month

  • October 202626 picks
    W-L
    11-15
    Win %
    42.3%
    Net
    -4.01u
    ROI
    -15.4%

By day

October 202626 picks - 11-15 - -4.01u
SMTWTFS123456-1.0u0-178910+0.1u6-611121314-3.2u5-81516171819202122232425262728293031

How the record is kept

Every pick grades against the line and price sealed 15 minutes before the start (for a tennis match that follows another on its court, 15 minutes before that court's first match; for an esports match that follows another on its stream, 15 minutes before that stream's first match, but never more than 6 hours before its own start). Pushes and voids never count toward wins or losses. Units use that sealed price, and every pick is one unit. Full rules on the methodology page, every settlement rule sport by sport in how we grade; the sealing itself is explained on the how sealing works page.

MLS tickets

Newest first. Each ticket opens its sealed receipt.

  1. LA Galaxy to win#1032October 14+118WON+1.18u
  2. San Diego FC to win#1031October 14+112LOST-1.00u
  3. Real Salt Lake to win#1029October 14-110LOST-1.00u
  4. Colorado Rapids to win#1028October 14-110LOST-1.00u
  5. St. Louis CITY SC to win#1027October 14+132LOST-1.00u
  6. Chicago Fire FC to win#1026October 14+160LOST-1.00u
  7. FC Dallas to win#1025October 14+106WON+1.06u
  8. Nashville SC to win#1024October 14-480WON+0.21u
  9. D.C. United to win#1019October 14+142WON+1.42u
  10. Columbus Crew to win#1018October 14-102WON+0.98u
  11. CF Montreal to win#1017October 14+156LOST-1.00u
  12. Toronto FC to win#1016October 14+139LOST-1.00u
  13. FC Cincinnati to win#1015October 14+114LOST-1.00u
  14. LAFC to win#758October 10+149LOST-1.00u
  15. Colorado Rapids to win#754October 10-105LOST-1.00u
  16. Portland Timbers to win#753October 10+126LOST-1.00u
  17. Nashville SC to win#752October 10-113WON+0.88u
  18. Minnesota United FC to win#751October 10+113LOST-1.00u
  19. Red Bull New York to win#739October 10+162WON+1.62u
  20. Atlanta United FC to win#738October 10+141LOST-1.00u
  21. New England Revolution to win#737October 10+115LOST-1.00u
  22. Orlando City SC to win#736October 10+119WON+1.19u
  23. Charlotte FC to win#735October 10+116WON+1.16u
  24. Philadelphia Union to win#734October 10-260WON+0.38u
  25. Chicago Fire FC to win#683October 10-111WON+0.90u
  26. Vancouver Whitecaps to win#427October 6+122LOST-1.00u