Rafael Dos Anjos vs Alexander Hernandez Prediction

Why

Agatha rates Rafael Dos Anjos 1636 and Alexander Hernandez 1626, built fight by fight from every UFC bout in her database.

Rafael Dos Anjos is 41: the model takes 60 rating points off for age past 32, where fighters historically fade.

Rafael Dos Anjos has not fought in 23 months: ring rust costs 14 rating points in the model.

Alexander Hernandez is 34: the model takes 12 rating points off for age past 32, where fighters historically fade.

Net gap after those adjustments: 52 rating points toward Alexander Hernandez, which converts to 57-43.

The market agrees: 69% for Alexander Hernandez across 1 book.