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Bashi vs Calderon Prediction

Saturday, Nov 7, 2026, 5:00 PM ET

Agatha Research Desk

PREDICTION

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1U

Bashi to Win

53%WIN CHANCE

MATCHUP

BashiBashi
vs
CalderonCalderon

Predicted -

Win chance can move until the seal

SEALS ATSEALS4:45 PM ET
BEST ODDSBEST-430BetOnlineBET

Where to bet it

Bashi to win: best odds

FIGHTbest price first - best 6 of 13 books

  1. BetOnline-430-430
  2. BetUS-430-430
  3. Betway-450-450
  4. Bovada-450-450
  5. Hard Rock-475-475
  6. Unibet-476-476

Fight at BetOnline: opened -425, now -430

Market (latest pregame line)

Total

2.5

Moneyline

Austin Bashi
-430
Carlos Calderon
+340

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (1 snapshot)

  • Moneyline (Austin Bashi) at FanDuel: opened -500, now -500
  • Total at BetOnline: opened 2.5, now 2.5

Who will win Bashi vs Calderon?

Austin Bashi. Agatha gives Bashi a 53% chance to win. It is Agatha's prediction for this fight, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Bashi

Agatha rates Austin Bashi 1520; Carlos Calderon has no UFC record in her database and enters at the 1500.0 baseline every debut starts from. Net gap after those adjustments: 20 rating points toward Austin Bashi, which converts to 53-47. Carlos Calderon is new to Agatha's data (no rating yet).

Bashi vs Calderon tale of the tape

  • Austin Bashi

    Pro record
    14-2-0W-L-D
    UFC record
    1-23 UFC fights
    UFC wins by
    0-1-0KO - SUB - DEC

  • Carlos Calderon

    Pro record
    11-4-0W-L-D
    Division
    Featherweight145 lb