AGATHANo gut feelings

UFC

Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards Prediction

Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards

Final: Christian Edwards def. Rodolfo Bellato

Agatha's call

Rodolfo Bellato to win59%

Christian Edwards def. Rodolfo Bellato by KO/TKO, R3. The pregame call missed.

Why

Agatha rates Rodolfo Bellato 1542 and Christian Edwards 1480, built fight by fight from every UFC bout in her database.

Net gap after those adjustments: 62 rating points toward Rodolfo Bellato, which converts to 59-41.

The market agrees: 59% for Rodolfo Bellato across 2 books.

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (Rodolfo Bellato)

-3.5

Total

1.5

Moneyline

Rodolfo Bellato
1.57
Draw
50.00
Christian Edwards
2.50

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (3 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (home): opened 1.61, now 1.48
  • Moneyline (home): opened 1.63, now 1.47