Vanessa Demopoulos vs Yazmin Jauregui Prediction
Agatha's call
Yazmin Jauregui to win61%
Yazmin Jauregui def. Vanessa Demopoulos by KO/TKO, R1. The pregame call held.
Why
Agatha rates Vanessa Demopoulos 1430 and Yazmin Jauregui 1484, built fight by fight from every UFC bout in her database.
Vanessa Demopoulos is 38: the model takes 36 rating points off for age past 32, where fighters historically fade.
Vanessa Demopoulos has not fought in 15 months: ring rust costs 4 rating points in the model.
Yazmin Jauregui has not fought in 24 months: ring rust costs 15 rating points in the model.
Net gap after those adjustments: 79 rating points toward Yazmin Jauregui, which converts to 61-39.
The market agrees: 85% for Yazmin Jauregui across 2 books.
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (Vanessa Demopoulos)
+7.5
Total
2.5
Moneyline
- Vanessa Demopoulos
- 7.00
- Draw
- 41.00
- Yazmin Jauregui
- 1.11
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (1 snapshot)
- Moneyline (home): opened 6.75, now 6.75
- Moneyline (home): opened 5.51, now 7.48