AGATHANo gut feelings

UFC

Ateba Gautier vs Roman Kopylov Prediction

Ateba Gautier vs Roman Kopylov

Agatha's call

Ateba Gautier to win63%

Price 1.56 at BetOnline

Why

Agatha rates Ateba Gautier 1666 and Roman Kopylov 1589, built fight by fight from every UFC bout in her database.

Roman Kopylov is 34: the model takes 14 rating points off for age past 32, where fighters historically fade.

Net gap after those adjustments: 91 rating points toward Ateba Gautier, which converts to 63-37.

The market agrees: 62% for Ateba Gautier across 1 book.

Market (latest pregame line)

Total

1.5

Moneyline

Ateba Gautier
1.60
Draw
33.00
Roman Kopylov
2.47

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (6 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (home): opened 1.53, now 1.60
  • Moneyline (home): opened 1.51, now 1.51