King Green vs Esteban Ribovics Prediction
Agatha's call
King Green to win62%
DOGPrice 3.21 at 1xBet
Why
Agatha rates King Green 1727 and Esteban Ribovics 1594, built fight by fight from every UFC bout in her database.
King Green is 40: the model takes 48 rating points off for age past 32, where fighters historically fade.
Net gap after those adjustments: 85 rating points toward King Green, which converts to 62-38.
The market disagrees: it favors Esteban Ribovics at 71% across 1 book.
Market (latest pregame line)
Moneyline
- King Green
- 3.35
- Draw
- 33.00
- Esteban Ribovics
- 1.34
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (4 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 3.52, now 3.22
- Moneyline (home): opened 3.30, now 3.35