Josiah Harrell vs Elves Brener Prediction
Agatha's call
Elves Brener to win56%
Elves Brener def. Josiah Harrell by KO/TKO, R1. The pregame call missed.
Why
Agatha rates Josiah Harrell 1460 and Elves Brener 1504, built fight by fight from every UFC bout in her database.
Elves Brener has not fought in 14 months: ring rust costs 2 rating points in the model.
Net gap after those adjustments: 42 rating points toward Elves Brener, which converts to 56-44.
No market line matched; this is Agatha's model alone.
Market (latest pregame line)
Total
2.5
Moneyline
- Josiah Harrell
- 1.74
- Elves Brener
- 2.01