Montel Jackson vs Ricky Simon Prediction
Agatha's call
Montel Jackson to win58%
Montel Jackson def. Ricky Simon by KO/TKO, R2. The pregame call held.
Why
Agatha rates Montel Jackson 1690 and Ricky Simon 1631, built fight by fight from every UFC bout in her database.
Montel Jackson is 34: the model takes 15 rating points off for age past 32, where fighters historically fade.
Ricky Simon is 34: the model takes 12 rating points off for age past 32, where fighters historically fade.
Net gap after those adjustments: 57 rating points toward Montel Jackson, which converts to 58-42.
The market agrees: 61% for Montel Jackson across 2 books.
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (Montel Jackson)
-3.5
Total
2.5
Moneyline
- Montel Jackson
- 1.44
- Draw
- 50.00
- Ricky Simon
- 2.87
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (2 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.57, now 1.43
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.57, now 1.44