Raul Rosas Jr. vs Raoni Barcelos Prediction
Agatha's call
Raul Rosas Jr. to win53%
Price 1.54 at William Hill
Raul Rosas Jr. def. Raoni Barcelos by KO/TKO, R5. The pregame call held.
Why
Agatha rates Raul Rosas Jr. 1672 and Raoni Barcelos 1698, built fight by fight from every UFC bout in her database.
Raoni Barcelos is 39: the model takes 44 rating points off for age past 32, where fighters historically fade.
Net gap after those adjustments: 19 rating points toward Raul Rosas Jr., which converts to 53-47.
The market agrees: 64% for Raul Rosas Jr. across 4 books.
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (Raul Rosas Jr.)
-5.5
Total
3.5
Moneyline
- Raul Rosas Jr.
- 1.71
- Draw
- 50.00
- Raoni Barcelos
- 2.18
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (2 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.50, now 1.69
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.54, now 1.71